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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
kalshi
polymarket

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Volume:
$11,853,606

Todd Blanche

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 7:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Todd Blanche

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,713,984
N/A
N/A
$731,188
2y 3mo 3w
Yes
polymarket

Todd Blanche

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
Yes
kalshi

Lee Zeldin

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,338,375
N/A
N/A
$405,063
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Lee Zeldin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Jeanine Pirro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$918,684
N/A
N/A
$409,200
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Jeanine Pirro

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Ron DeSantis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$820,080
N/A
N/A
$389,758
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Ron DeSantis

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Ken Paxton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$684,553
N/A
N/A
$354,798
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Matt Gaetz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$625,438
N/A
N/A
$347,154
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Harmeet Dhillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$602,289
N/A
N/A
$315,384
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Harmeet Dhillon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Jay Clayton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$404,314
N/A
N/A
$290,327
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Mike Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$370,144
N/A
N/A
$286,947
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Mike Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Andrew Bailey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$333,673
N/A
N/A
$266,161
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Andrew Bailey

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Alina Habba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$331,449
N/A
N/A
$237,284
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Alina Habba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Ted Cruz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312,927
N/A
N/A
$254,172
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Ted Cruz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Ed Martin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$276,116
N/A
N/A
$206,899
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

No one

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246,378
N/A
N/A
$176,127
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Eric Schmitt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$227,178
N/A
N/A
$173,190
2y 3mo 3w
No
polymarket

Eric Schmitt

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
N/A
2y 3mo 3w
No
Total markets: 25 of 62

Intro

This market tracks predictions about who will be appointed as the next Attorney General of the United States under Donald Trump's potential administration. The current consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 99.9%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official information from the White House or United States Senate, with credible reporting as a secondary source. Watch for any formal appointment or Senate confirmation before January 20, 2029.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms agree that resolution depends on the first individual formally assuming the Attorney General position through appointment and confirmation or recess appointment before January 20, 2029, excluding acting or interim holders.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the White House or United States Senate, with credible reporting as a secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves for any listed candidate if they are the first to formally assume the position as Attorney General through appointment and confirmation or recess appointment before January 20, 2029
  • Acting or interim holders do not qualify for resolution
  • If no qualified individual assumes the position by January 20, 2029, markets resolve according to their specific "no one" or "other" conditions

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Recess Appointment: A recess appointment qualifies as a formal assumption of the position even without Senate confirmation
  • Simultaneous Claims: If two or more individuals assume the position simultaneously (e.g., through conflicting orders), the market resolves based on the first individual to receive formal recognition from the White House or Senate
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the first qualified individual formally assumes the position, or on January 20, 2029 if no qualified individual has assumed the position by that dateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of Attorney General of the United States if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The first new person appointed to the position of Attorney General resolves the market. Acting and interim office holders are excluded from consideration. Persons confirmed by the Senate or appointed via recess appointment qualify, including recess appointments later struck down as illegal. The market resolves based on the first new appointment before January 20, 2029.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Trump Attorney General market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each potential nominee. It displays current odds, volume of $11,853,606, and 24-hour volume of $110,200 across platforms. This unified view lets you monitor consensus and shifts in expectations as the administration finalizes its selection.

Key signals that could shift this market include high-profile endorsements, cabinet reshuffles, media speculation about contenders, and legal or scandal-related developments affecting candidates. Any public statement from the administration about the selection process — or unexpected withdrawals — may cause rapid re-pricing as traders reassess the odds of each potential nominee.