TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$264,423,826

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,171,275,957

831,219

Markets across

15,133

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

973

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026?

Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026?

Jul 14, 2026, 12:49 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$11,095
Volume 24h:
$1,306N/A
Liquidity:
$16,896
19%
Open interest:
$2,822N/A
PredictionHero
Russia 83%
polymarket
Iran 77%
polymarket
Colombia 28%
polymarket
Jul 14, 04:00 PMJul 14, 08:00 PMJul 15, 09:00 AMJul 15, 01:00 PMJul 15, 05:00 PMJul 16, 12:00 AMJul 16, 07:00 AMJul 16, 11:00 AMJul 16, 03:00 PM20406080100

Will Clavicular visit Russia in 2026?

83%chance
Amount

$

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$500

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Outcome
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Description

If Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

If Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, visits a listed country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Clavicular physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Clavicular enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For the purposes of this market, "China" includes all territory administered by the People's Republic of China, including Special Administrative Regions, excluding Taiwan. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Clavicular travel destinations market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which countries Clavicular will visit during 2026. The interface displays current probabilities for each destination outcome, along with 24-hour volume and historical price movements. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment about Clavicular's travel plans as new information emerges throughout the year. The dashboard provides a transparent view of collective market expectations, updated continuously as participants buy and sell positions on their preferred outcomes.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money incentives for accuracy, often diverging from traditional analyst forecasts or travel industry projections. While analysts may rely on historical travel patterns or public statements, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders who face direct financial consequences for incorrect predictions. Comparing current odds to expert commentary or travel itineraries can reveal where the crowd sees higher or lower probability than conventional wisdom suggests. Such gaps sometimes signal emerging information or overlooked catalysts that may shift expectations before resolution.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time probability estimates for each destination. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the cumulative bets placed on it, with higher prices indicating stronger collective confidence. Traders can buy or sell shares at any time, and the pricing mechanism ensures that odds adjust dynamically as new positions enter the market. This continuous repricing helps surface the most up-to-date consensus about Clavicular's likely travel destinations.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, after which the outcome is confirmed once Clavicular's 2026 travel destinations are verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution process identifies which countries were actually visited during the calendar year, and winning positions are paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements, travel records, and reliable reporting throughout 2026 to anticipate how the market may shift as the year progresses and destinations become confirmed or ruled out.

Major catalysts include public announcements of scheduled tours or trips, visa applications or travel permits, social media hints about upcoming plans, and confirmed bookings or appearances in specific regions. Cancellations or postponements of previously announced visits could also shift odds significantly. Media reports about Clavicular's availability, health, or professional commitments may influence trader expectations about feasibility. Additionally, geopolitical developments or travel restrictions in key countries could alter the likelihood of certain destinations being visited, prompting rapid repricing across the market.

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