TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$262,573,226

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,187,805,448

831,787

Markets across

15,132

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

964

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?

What will United Airlines say during their next earnings call?

Jul 9, 2026, 9:29 PM EST - Jul 16, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$8,102
Volume 24h:
$5,728N/A
Liquidity:
$7,213
44%
Open interest:
$4,600N/A
PredictionHero
Statement 100%
polymarket
Internet 100%
polymarket
Footprint 92%
polymarket
Jul 10Jul 10Jul 10Jul 10Jul 11Jul 11Jul 11Jul 12Jul 12Jul 13Jul 13Jul 13Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 16Jul 16Jul 16020406080100

Closed: Jul 16, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Description

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of United Airlines currently scheduled to take place on July 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of United Airlines currently scheduled to take place on July 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM EST. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

The United Airlines earnings call market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for predictions about what the airline will say during its next earnings presentation. This market focuses on specific language and mentions executives are expected to make, allowing traders to wager on particular phrases, topics, or statements. The dashboard displays current odds, historical price movements, and volume of $8,102 in total trading activity, giving participants visibility into how the broader prediction community is positioning ahead of the call.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders with direct financial incentive to forecast accurately, often incorporating forward-looking sentiment that traditional analyst reports may lag. While equity research teams publish earnings previews and guidance expectations, this market aggregates distributed knowledge from participants actively trading on specific statements United Airlines executives are likely to emphasize. Comparing the two reveals whether professional consensus aligns with crowd-sourced prediction, and divergences can signal emerging market concerns or overlooked catalysts in the earnings narrative.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract trades independently, with the price of a contract reflecting the crowd's collective belief in that statement occurring during the earnings call. Traders buy or sell shares at the displayed price, and the cumulative order flow continuously updates odds, ensuring the market reflects fresh information and sentiment as the event date approaches.

This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once United Airlines has completed its next earnings call and the statements made are verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by whether specific phrases or topics mentioned during the call match the conditions outlined for each prediction. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for transcripts and official records to be reviewed, ensuring accuracy and preventing disputes over what was actually said.

Market odds will shift in response to United Airlines operational updates, fuel price movements, capacity announcements, and broader airline industry news that might influence what management emphasizes on the call. Quarterly financial results, competitor earnings, and macroeconomic data affecting travel demand can all reshape trader expectations about which topics will dominate discussion. Additionally, any pre-earnings guidance, investor presentations, or management commentary released before the call itself will likely trigger repricing as participants refine their forecasts based on fresh signals about executive priorities.

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