TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$266,367,375
24H TRANSACTIONS:
960,901,819
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,196,061,598
832,481
Markets across
15,126
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
961
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
Kalshi:
55%
What will Bernie say during his Grand Rapids Rally?
Time left: 17d:19h:16m
What will Bernie Sanders say during The People v. The Powerful (Grand Rapids)?
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Description
Bernie Sanders will hold a rally titled "The People v. The Powerful" in Grand Rapids. These markets track whether he mentions specific words or phrases during his official remarks at this live, press-open event.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on video of the live broadcast or stream, with official transcripts used as backup if consensus cannot be reached. Bernie Sanders must speak in an official capacity; inaudible private conversations or unofficial statements do not qualify. The exact word or phrase must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Plural nouns within proper nouns and noun phrases are included. Only content from the live event itself counts; previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings from separate times or places are excluded. The event must be open to the press and televised or streamed to qualify. If the event is cancelled or fails to qualify, all markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 calendar days, markets remain open.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money incentives, meaning traders who forecast incorrectly face financial loss—a mechanism that often produces sharper accuracy than traditional polling or pundit analysis. While political analysts may rely on historical patterns or qualitative judgment, this market prices in live trader conviction and new information as it emerges. Comparing the two reveals whether professional forecasters and market participants align on the likelihood of specific statements, or whether one group holds a notably different view of what will be said.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the price of each reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates that reflect the latest consensus on what Bernie Sanders will say.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, once the Grand Rapids Rally has concluded and statements can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing what was actually said during the event against the specific claims or topics tracked by each contract. Credible public reporting—including video, transcripts, and news coverage—will be used to confirm which outcomes occurred, ensuring resolution reflects what was genuinely stated at the rally.
Market prices may shift based on Bernie Sanders' recent public statements, campaign announcements, or breaking news that hints at his likely talking points. Polling data on voter priorities, economic developments, or legislative updates could also influence trader expectations about which topics he will emphasize. As the rally date draws closer, any official campaign communications or media coverage previewing the event may prompt repricing. Finally, statements from other political figures or unexpected national events could reshape what traders believe will be the focus of his remarks.
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