TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$103,238,539

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,173,199,778

338,330

Markets across

33,339

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,209

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Total volume:
$183,587
Volume 24h:
$3,950
73%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$126,947
3%

Outer Banks: Season 5

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Outer Banks: Season 5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,799
N/A
N/A
$23,337
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Outer Banks: Season 5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Tires: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,599
N/A
N/A
$46,163
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Tires: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,293
N/A
N/A
$29,097
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,305
N/A
N/A
$15,161
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,476
N/A
N/A
$2,476
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Blood Sacrifice: Season 1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,045
N/A
N/A
$2,045
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,881
N/A
N/A
$1,881
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Best Medicine: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,661
N/A
N/A
$1,661
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Audacity: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,379
N/A
N/A
$1,372
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - August 10, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,366
N/A
N/A
$1,366
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,362
N/A
N/A
$1,362
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$532
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Danny Go!: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$494
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event group tracks which show will rank #1 on the US Netflix Top 10 TV shows list for the week ending August 25, 2026. Multiple markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are resolving based on this ranking.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same data source (Netflix Top 10 US Show chart) and use identical tie-breaking rules (alphabetical order).Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on August 25, 2026

Core resolution logic:

  • The show ranked #1 on Netflix's official US Top 10 TV shows list for the week ending August 25, 2026 determines resolution
  • If multiple shows tie for #1, the show whose title comes first alphabetically wins
  • Markets resolving to 'Other' (Polymarket) occur only if Netflix fails to publish the chart by August 28, 2026

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Chart Publication Delay: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 list by August 28, 2026, Polymarket's 'Other' market resolves to Yes while all show-specific markets resolve to No
  • Alphabetical Tiebreak: If two shows tie for #1, the show with the earlier alphabetical title wins regardless of view count equality
Timing: Resolution occurs after Netflix publishes the Top 10 US Show chart on August 25, 2026; Polymarket's 'Other' market has an extended deadline of August 28, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

The event determines the top-ranked US Netflix show for the week ending the Sunday before August 25, 2026, based on the chart published on August 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific show or episode, resolving to 'Yes' if that entry occupies the number one position on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart for that week. All markets share a common secondary rule structure: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before the chart publication date. This timing ensures all participants are assessing the same data set when the market settles. Additionally, all markets explicitly note that neither Netflix nor Kalshi endorses these products, and any references to Netflix branding are purely descriptive and not indicative of affiliation or endorsement.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the top US Netflix show market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of different shows claiming the top spot. It displays consensus odds, volume of $163,095, and 24-hour volume of $19,598, letting users see where the market stands on the short_topic. This cross-platform view helps spot trends and divergences as the week progresses.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The leading show is determined by official Netflix rankings for that week, providing a clear, data-driven close to the betting period.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 25, 2026. Major Netflix content drops — such as new episodes, surprise releases, or high-profile premieres — might boost viewership for specific shows. Media coverage, social media buzz, and audience engagement metrics also play a role, as they influence weekly streaming rankings. Any last-minute changes to release schedules or marketing pushes could alter outcomes. Additionally, competitive performance from other streaming services may divert viewers, impacting the rankings. Traders will watch real-time viewership reports and platform announcements closely as Aug 25, 2026 approaches.