TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.8b
24H VOL:
$105,438,864
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,170,041,743
338,680
Markets across
33,274
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,215
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
The Dating App Killer: The Monica White Story
- Kalshi
The Dating App Killer: The Monica White Story - Kalshi
0%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Aug 20
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 27
Vol.
$53k
·
Resolves Aug 25, 2026
Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks which movie will rank #2 on the US Netflix Top 10 Movies list for the week ending August 25, 2026. Markets across different platforms are resolving based on Netflix's official chart ranking for that specific week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets resolve based on the Netflix Top 10 US Movies chart published on August 25, 2026, with the Polymarket 'Other' clause as the only timing-based exception.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Movies chart at top10.netflix.comCore resolution logic:
- The winning market is the movie that ranks #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movies chart published on August 25, 2026.
- Polymarket markets resolve to 'Other' if the chart update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Ties in ranking are broken by alphabetical order of movie titles.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Chart Update Delay: If Netflix does not publish the chart by August 28, 2026, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi markets remain unresolved until the chart is published.
- Tie-Breaker: If two or more movies are tied for #2, the tie is broken by alphabetical order of the movie titles.
Polymarket
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Kalshi
Each market resolves based on whether a specified movie appears at the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 25, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with charts updating on Tuesdays. All markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. These markets are independent speculations and carry no endorsement from Netflix; references to Netflix are used descriptively and do not imply any affiliation or approval.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking will be checked against official Netflix charts or trusted entertainment news sources that publish the weekly US streaming rankings, ensuring an objective and transparent close for all participants.
Several signals could shift probabilities before this market settles — major social media buzz around a new release, significant media coverage, viral moments for a film’s cast, or last-minute changes in Netflix’s algorithm or featured promotions. Any unexpected surge in viewership or a competing title dropping out of the top spot can also cause rapid re-pricing in the final days leading to Aug 25, 2026.
