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Politics
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (July 15)
polymarket

Will the next Lemonade Stand Podcast episode mention a specific term?

Volume:
$14,529

Problem

 - Polymarket

Problem - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Problem

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

World Cup

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20.9¢
N/A
$2,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Blue

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
35.9¢
N/A
$2,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Actually

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

China / Chinese

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Different

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
7.6¢
N/A
$777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Think

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Iran / Iranian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94.7¢
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Red

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
28.9¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Honestly

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Money

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trump 10+ times

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
60¢
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ukraine / Ukrainian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
48.9¢
N/A
$193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

-No Qualifying Event-

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Green

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Korea / Korean

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Collateral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Car / Vehicle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nordic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Legality

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Lemonade Stand Podcast predictions market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for what will be said during the next episode airing on July 15. Traders buy and sell shares representing different potential statements or topics, with the current odds reflecting the collective forecast of the market. The dashboard shows the leading outcome alongside its implied probability, allowing participants to monitor how sentiment shifts as new information emerges. This market aggregates trading activity to surface the most likely prediction about podcast content before the episode airs.

Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated preferences at a single moment, while this market reflects real-money incentives for accuracy over time. Traders in prediction markets face financial consequences for wrong forecasts, which often produces sharper probability estimates than survey responses. For podcast content predictions, market odds tend to incorporate insider knowledge, social media signals, and episode teasers faster than traditional polling can. The continuous price discovery on Polymarket means odds update dynamically as new clues about the episode emerge, whereas polls remain static until the next survey wave.

This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the Lemonade Stand Podcast episode airs and the content becomes publicly verifiable. The outcome is confirmed by comparing the episode's actual dialogue and topics against the specific claim in the market. Credible public sources—including the podcast itself, official transcripts, or reputable media coverage—determine whether the predicted statement was indeed said. Traders who correctly forecast the episode's content receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jul 15, 2026. Official episode previews, guest announcements, or social media teasers from the podcast hosts often trigger sharp price moves as traders gain new information. Breaking news related to the podcast's typical topics may also influence predictions if it affects likely discussion points. Insider commentary from fans or media outlets covering the show can sway sentiment. As the episode air date approaches, any leaked clips or promotional material will likely drive final repricing. The market remains most volatile in the hours immediately before the episode drops, when late-arriving information has maximum impact.