TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$264,423,826
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,171,275,957
831,219
Markets across
15,133
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
973
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated preferences at a single moment, while this market reflects real-money incentives for accuracy over time. Traders in prediction markets face financial consequences for wrong forecasts, which often produces sharper probability estimates than survey responses. For podcast content predictions, market odds tend to incorporate insider knowledge, social media signals, and episode teasers faster than traditional polling can. The continuous price discovery on Polymarket means odds update dynamically as new clues about the episode emerge, whereas polls remain static until the next survey wave.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the Lemonade Stand Podcast episode airs and the content becomes publicly verifiable. The outcome is confirmed by comparing the episode's actual dialogue and topics against the specific claim in the market. Credible public sources—including the podcast itself, official transcripts, or reputable media coverage—determine whether the predicted statement was indeed said. Traders who correctly forecast the episode's content receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Several catalysts could shift odds before Jul 15, 2026. Official episode previews, guest announcements, or social media teasers from the podcast hosts often trigger sharp price moves as traders gain new information. Breaking news related to the podcast's typical topics may also influence predictions if it affects likely discussion points. Insider commentary from fans or media outlets covering the show can sway sentiment. As the episode air date approaches, any leaked clips or promotional material will likely drive final repricing. The market remains most volatile in the hours immediately before the episode drops, when late-arriving information has maximum impact.
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