TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$264,423,826

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,171,275,957

831,219

Markets across

15,133

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

973

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (July 15)

Will the next Lemonade Stand Podcast episode mention a specific term?

Volume:
$14,529
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Problem 100%
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World Cup 100%
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Blue 100%
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Jul 10Jul 10Jul 10Jul 10Jul 10Jul 11Jul 11Jul 11Jul 11Jul 12Jul 12Jul 12Jul 13Jul 13Jul 13Jul 13Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 16406080100

Closed: Jul 15, 7:59 PM EST

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Description

The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

The Lemonade Stand Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Wednesday. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify. If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast). For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Lemonade Stand Podcast predictions market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for what will be said during the next episode airing on July 15. Traders buy and sell shares representing different potential statements or topics, with the current odds reflecting the collective forecast of the market. The dashboard shows the leading outcome alongside its implied probability, allowing participants to monitor how sentiment shifts as new information emerges. This market aggregates trading activity to surface the most likely prediction about podcast content before the episode airs.

Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated preferences at a single moment, while this market reflects real-money incentives for accuracy over time. Traders in prediction markets face financial consequences for wrong forecasts, which often produces sharper probability estimates than survey responses. For podcast content predictions, market odds tend to incorporate insider knowledge, social media signals, and episode teasers faster than traditional polling can. The continuous price discovery on Polymarket means odds update dynamically as new clues about the episode emerge, whereas polls remain static until the next survey wave.

This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the Lemonade Stand Podcast episode airs and the content becomes publicly verifiable. The outcome is confirmed by comparing the episode's actual dialogue and topics against the specific claim in the market. Credible public sources—including the podcast itself, official transcripts, or reputable media coverage—determine whether the predicted statement was indeed said. Traders who correctly forecast the episode's content receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jul 15, 2026. Official episode previews, guest announcements, or social media teasers from the podcast hosts often trigger sharp price moves as traders gain new information. Breaking news related to the podcast's typical topics may also influence predictions if it affects likely discussion points. Insider commentary from fans or media outlets covering the show can sway sentiment. As the episode air date approaches, any leaked clips or promotional material will likely drive final repricing. The market remains most volatile in the hours immediately before the episode drops, when late-arriving information has maximum impact.

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