TOTAL VOLUME:

$131.1b

24H VOL:

$102,238,956

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,299,410,835

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,367,853,973

375,016

Markets across

30,617

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,813

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

40%

VS.

Kalshi:

60%

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What price will Solana hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$2,243,001
Volume 24h:
$16,485
40%
Liquidity:
$858,319
12%
Open interest:
$57,895
0.29%

$50 or above

 - Kalshi

$50 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

SOL price on Jan 1, 2027?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 99 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$50 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 7¢
7¢
N/A
$51
0%
0%
$51
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 120

Trade
85%
12%
Yes 88.8¢No 19.6¢
8.4¢
$37,160
$99,428
2%
36%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

100 or above

Trade
72%
7%
Yes 77¢No 27¢
4¢
N/A
$58,705
1%
2%
$20,862
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 140

Trade
53%
6%
Yes 55¢No 49¢
4¢
$26,213
$45,797
0.2%
37%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 90

Trade
38%
Yes 41¢No 65¢
6¢
$31,073
$6,643
5%
10%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

150 or above

Trade
37%
1%
Yes 36¢No 66¢
2¢
N/A
$54,995
0.82%
3%
$15,942
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 160

Trade
28%
5%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$25,820
$134,636
0.58%
11%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 80

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 75¢
1¢
$27,451
$5,236
4%
28%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

200 or above

Trade
23%
1%
Yes 33¢No 76¢
9¢
N/A
$41,154
0.37%
2%
$9,917
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 200

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
$43,453
$65,089
0.12%
9%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
17.5%
Yes 22.5¢No 82.5¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 9¢
polymarket

↑ 180

Trade
19%
Yes 19.3¢No 81¢
0.3¢
$42,467
$129,758
0.29%
8%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 70

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$37,425
$35,908
0%
9%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

250 or above

Trade
12%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$5,702
0%
6%
$1,962
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 60

Trade
8%
Yes 8.3¢No 92.1¢
0.4¢
$49,862
$225,027
0.16%
2%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 220

Trade
7%
2%
Yes 8.1¢No 94.6¢
2.7¢
$44,522
$33,418
0%
9%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 50

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$49,852
$123,206
0.09%
5%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

350 or above

Trade
6%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$7,004
0%
0.03%
$1,736
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

300 or above

Trade
6%
Yes 10¢No 94¢
4¢
N/A
$1,950
0%
0%
$1,630
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 300

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.5¢
0.4¢
$43,454
$49,299
0.05%
30%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4.5%
Yes 6.5¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 2.2¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

↑ 240

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 6.7¢No 95.7¢
2.4¢
$45,807
$71,493
0%
9%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 30

Trade
5%
2%
Yes 7.4¢No 97.1¢
4.5¢
$32,744
$14,413
0%
0.15%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↓ 40

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 95.9¢
0.9¢
$56,024
$225,898
1%
5%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

400 or above

Trade
4%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$5,291
0%
0%
$2,434
3mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

↑ 400

Trade
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 98.3¢
0.8¢
$42,813
$66,809
0.01%
2%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 5.8¢No 95.2¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

↑ 260

Trade
4%
Yes 5.2¢No 97.5¢
2.7¢
$36,947
$29,446
0%
2%
N/A
3mo 1w 2d
active
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Solana reaching a specified price by January 1, 2027. Currently, the consensus is that Solana will reach its target price with a 99.0% probability, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data, specifically the High price, as detailed in the resolution source. Keep an eye on trading activity leading up to December 31, 2026, as that date marks the end of the observation window for determining whether Solana meets the specified price target.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms utilize different data sources and calculation methods for determining Solana's price, leading to potential discrepancies in resolution.Hero tip: Consider the differing methodologies when trading these markets. Kalshi uses an averaged index price, while Polymarket relies on Binance spot market data. Diversify your positions across platforms to hedge against resolution differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve based on the High or Low price of SOL/USDT on Binance 1-minute candles, depending on whether the question asks about reaching or dipping to a price. Resolution occurs if a single 1-minute candle meets the criteria between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI at 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027. This is a single point-in-time measurement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Solana hit before 2027?

Kalshi

Resolution occurs at 12:00 AM EST on January 1, 2027 using CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI (Solana-Dollar Real Time Index). The official price is calculated as the simple average of sixty individual RTI price points collected during the final minute before expiration. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the averaged price exceeds its specified threshold, ranging from $100 to $450. This methodology ensures consistent, objective pricing independent of any single exchange's data.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the Solana price in 2026 market aggregates forecasts from traders across both platforms to provide a consensus view of where the cryptocurrency will trade by the start of 2027. Currently, traders have placed a total volume of $2,243,001 on this market, with $8,231 traded in the last 24 hours. This dashboard allows you to compare predictions and see how the collective wisdom of the crowd evolves over time. The current spread between the highest and lowest probabilities is 14.4.

Prediction market odds reflect a probabilistic assessment of future events, distinct from the current spot price of Solana. While the spot price reflects present supply and demand, this market encapsulates expectations about future developments – technological advancements, regulatory changes, and broader market trends – that could impact Solana’s value. Therefore, the implied probability distribution from this market offers a forward-looking perspective that differs from simply observing today’s price. It’s a measure of belief, not current valuation.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing interpretations of the same event. Trading volumes also vary significantly between the two platforms; Polymarket currently favors Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? at 84.6%, while Kalshi leans toward SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? at 99.0%. These differences in participation and liquidity contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the USD-denominated price of Solana on a widely recognized exchange at the specified time. The specific exchange used for verification will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome.

Numerous factors could influence the price of Solana and, consequently, move this market. Key catalysts include major upgrades to the Solana blockchain, such as improvements to scalability or security. Regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrencies, particularly in the United States, could also have a significant impact. Broader macroeconomic conditions, like interest rate changes or inflation, and overall sentiment towards risk assets will also play a role. Finally, significant adoption of Solana-based decentralized applications (dApps) could drive demand and increase the price.