TOTAL VOLUME:

$157.8b

24H VOL:

$226,627,884

24H TRANSACTIONS:

3,076,494,464

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,677,628,183

398,936

Markets across

36,987

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,736

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What price will Solana hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$2,632,557
Volume 24h:
$25,589
53%
Liquidity:
$1,038,309
5%
Open interest:
$63,725
0%

$50 or above

 - Kalshi

$50 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

SOL price on Jan 1, 2027?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 7% Low liquidity 54 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$50 or above

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 5¢
4¢
$481
$51
0%
0%
$51
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↓ 80

Trade
61%
4%
Yes 61¢No 40¢
1¢
$43,838
$13,442
0.1%
23%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

100 or above

Trade
41%
Yes 45¢No 59¢
4¢
$3,672
$64,873
0%
1%
$19,904
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↓ 70

Trade
31%
2%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$33,763
$40,660
0.06%
6%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↓ 60

Trade
11%
2%
Yes 12.5¢No 90.8¢
3.3¢
$47,817
$254,808
2%
4%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

150 or above

Trade
10%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
$3,665
$60,577
0%
2%
$17,249
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 140

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$56,639
$85,069
4%
34%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↓ 50

Trade
7%
2%
Yes 7.7¢No 94.2¢
1.9¢
$48,099
$148,584
0.52%
5%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 160

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
$59,594
$180,869
0.32%
11%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

250 or above

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
$2,439
$8,115
0%
16%
$2,848
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↓ 30

Trade
4%
Yes 5.8¢No 97.9¢
3.7¢
$46,838
$28,531
0%
5%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↓ 40

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.8¢
0.9¢
$63,160
$250,773
0.37%
3%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 180

Trade
3%
Yes 4.3¢No 97.5¢
1.8¢
$58,578
$162,776
0%
5%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

200 or above

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
$2,489
$45,956
0%
8%
$14,059
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 200

Trade
3%
Yes 3.4¢No 97.5¢
0.9¢
$56,327
$91,715
0%
6%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.3%
Yes 3.3¢No 96.7¢
0.9 – 1.0¢
kalshi

350 or above

Trade
3%
Yes 6¢No 97¢
3¢
$2,567
$7,017
0%
0%
$1,725
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 220

Trade
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
0.1¢
$57,097
$39,707
0%
0.59%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 260

Trade
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
0.1¢
$48,440
$34,444
0.29%
7%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

450 or above

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
$4,502
$7,811
0%
2%
$3,403
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 240

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢
0.1¢
$52,246
$81,261
0.78%
4%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

300 or above

Trade
4%
Yes 6¢No 97¢
3¢
$1,265
$2,613
0%
0.8%
$2,065
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 300

Trade
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.9¢
0.5¢
$54,072
$53,606
0.02%
2%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.5%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢
0.5 – 3.0¢
polymarket

↓ 20

Trade
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.3¢
0.9¢
$61,751
$242,781
0%
3%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
polymarket

↑ 320

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.3¢
0.6¢
$53,859
$127,310
0.05%
0.35%
N/A
1mo 3w 3d
Active
kalshi

400 or above

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
$2,966
$5,465
0%
0.02%
$2,422
1mo 3w 3d
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
0.2 – 3.0¢
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks predictions on the price of Solana (SOL) as of January 1, 2027. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi—indicates a 99.0% chance that the SOL price on that date will reach or exceed a certain level. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL_USDT trading pair. Keep an eye on price movements as we approach the resolution date of January 1, 2027, which marks the end of the observation window for determining the final SOL price.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms utilize different data sources and calculation methods for determining Solana's price, leading to potential discrepancies in resolution.Hero tip: Consider the differing methodologies when trading these markets. Kalshi uses an averaged index price, while Polymarket relies on Binance spot market data. Diversify your positions across platforms to hedge against resolution differences.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve based on the High or Low price of SOL/USDT on Binance 1-minute candles, depending on whether the question asks about reaching or dipping to a price. Resolution occurs if a single 1-minute candle meets the criteria between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI at 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027. This is a single point-in-time measurement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Solana hit before 2027?

Kalshi

Resolution occurs at 12:00 AM EST on January 1, 2027 using CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI (Solana-Dollar Real Time Index). The official price is calculated as the simple average of sixty individual RTI price points collected during the final minute before expiration. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the averaged price exceeds its specified threshold, ranging from $100 to $450. This methodology ensures consistent, objective pricing independent of any single exchange's data.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the Solana price in 2026 market aggregates forecasts from traders across both platforms to provide a consensus view of where the cryptocurrency will trade by the start of 2027. Currently, traders have placed a total volume of $2,632,557 on this market, with $10,853 traded in the last 24 hours. This dashboard allows you to compare predictions and see how the collective wisdom of the crowd evolves over time. The current spread between the highest and lowest probabilities is 38.5.

Prediction market odds reflect a probabilistic assessment of future events, distinct from the current spot price of Solana. While the spot price reflects present supply and demand, this market encapsulates expectations about future developments – technological advancements, regulatory changes, and broader market trends – that could impact Solana’s value. Therefore, the implied probability distribution from this market offers a forward-looking perspective that differs from simply observing today’s price. It’s a measure of belief, not current valuation.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing interpretations of the same event. Trading volumes also vary significantly between the two platforms; Polymarket currently favors Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? at 60.5%, while Kalshi leans toward SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? at 99.0%. These differences in participation and liquidity contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the USD-denominated price of Solana on a widely recognized exchange at the specified time. The specific exchange used for verification will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome.

Numerous factors could influence the price of Solana and, consequently, move this market. Key catalysts include major upgrades to the Solana blockchain, such as improvements to scalability or security. Regulatory developments concerning cryptocurrencies, particularly in the United States, could also have a significant impact. Broader macroeconomic conditions, like interest rate changes or inflation, and overall sentiment towards risk assets will also play a role. Finally, significant adoption of Solana-based decentralized applications (dApps) could drive demand and increase the price.