TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Jan 27, 2026, 1:50 PM EST - Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$12,174,591
Volume 24h:
$122,305
27%
Liquidity:
$1,283,649
5%
Open interest:
$352,105
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Variational's governance token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the day after its public launch. The group consists of 11 linked binary markets, each asking if the FDV will exceed a different dollar amount ($100M through $5B), with a hard deadline of December 31, 2027 for token launch.
Created at:Apr 30, 2026, 7:02 PM GMT+0
Updated at:May 25, 2026, 1:51 AM GMT+0
Event ID:103469
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