TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.3b

24H VOL:

$248,974,735

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,753,729

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,127,649,750

828,765

Markets across

15,051

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

953

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props? Odds & Prediction Markets

Total volume:
$1,022,591
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$112
0.53%
Open interest:
$375,188
0%
PredictionHero
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots 100%
polymarket
Malik Tillman: 3+ shots 100%
polymarket
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots 0.95%
polymarket
Jun 29Jun 30Jul 1Jul 1Jul 2Jul 3Jul 4Jul 4Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Jul 10Jul 10Jul 11Jul 12Jul 13Jul 13Jul 14Jul 15Jul 16020406080100

Malik Tillman: 2+ shots

100%chance
Amount

$

$20

$50

$100

$500

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Outcome
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Intro

This market tracks individual player performance in the United States versus Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 1, 2026, focusing on statistics including shots, goals, assists, shots on target, and goalkeeper saves. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the leading outcome—Malik Tillman recording 2 or more shots—shows a consensus probability of 99.8%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA World Cup statistics as recognized by the governing body, with credible reporting consensus serving as backup if official data is unavailable. Watch for the final team lineups and tactical formations announced on match day, as these will directly influence shot volume and player involvement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict) apply identical resolution logic: official match statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, exclusion of extra time, 50-50 on cancellation, No on player inactivity, and fallback to credible reporting if official stats unavailable.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA World Cup statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours (for shots/saves) or 24 hours (for goals).

Core resolution logic:

  • All player prop statistics are counted only if credited to the named player in official match statistics.
  • Resolution window is the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
  • Own goals do not count toward player goal totals.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, markets resolve 50-50.
  • If a player is listed as inactive or does not play, markets resolve No.
  • Shots on target are distinguished from total shots in separate market categories.
  • Goalkeeper saves are counted only for the credited goalkeeper.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Player Substitution: Statistics count only if credited to the named player; substitution does not affect resolution as long as the player participated and stats are officially recorded.
  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and do not resolve until the match is completed; no early settlement occurs.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all player prop markets resolve 50-50.
  • Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not play in the match, all markets for that player resolve No.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours (for shots/saves) or 24 hours (for goals), a consensus of credible reporting sources is used for resolution.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published by FIFA or event organizers, or within 2-24 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records at least the stated threshold of assists during the entire USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina match (regulation, stoppage, and any extra time). If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their actual assist count throughout the match.

Predict

Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than sportsbook margins, often reflecting sharper, more granular player-level data. Because traders directly set odds through supply and demand, these markets can price niche props—like a midfielder's exact assist count—more efficiently than traditional books. Sportsbooks typically offer wider spreads and fewer prop variations; prediction markets reward informed traders with tighter pricing and deeper liquidity on high-conviction outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, causing identical props to trade at different odds. Kalshi's regulatory structure and user base may emphasize certain outcomes, while Polymarket's global reach and design can shift conviction on the same player stat. Arbitrage opportunities arise when one platform underprices a prop relative to the other, rewarding traders who spot and exploit these gaps before prices converge.

This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Each player prop settles based on the final, official statistics recorded for that athlete during the match. Traders should monitor official match records and league announcements to track when results are locked in and payouts are distributed.

Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can dramatically reprrice individual player props, especially for key contributors. Pre-match press conferences and official roster announcements often trigger sharp moves as traders adjust for availability. Live action during the game itself will shift odds in real time as players accumulate stats; early goals, red cards, or substitutions cascade through all related props, creating dynamic trading opportunities until final whistle.

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