TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.3b
24H VOL:
$248,974,735
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,753,729
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,127,649,750
828,765
Markets across
15,051
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
953
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
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This market tracks individual player performance in the United States versus Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 1, 2026, focusing on statistics including shots, goals, assists, shots on target, and goalkeeper saves. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the leading outcome—Malik Tillman recording 2 or more shots—shows a consensus probability of 99.8%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA World Cup statistics as recognized by the governing body, with credible reporting consensus serving as backup if official data is unavailable. Watch for the final team lineups and tactical formations announced on match day, as these will directly influence shot volume and player involvement.
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records at least the stated threshold of assists during the entire USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina match (regulation, stoppage, and any extra time). If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles at the last fair price before kickoff. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their actual assist count throughout the match.
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, causing identical props to trade at different odds. Kalshi's regulatory structure and user base may emphasize certain outcomes, while Polymarket's global reach and design can shift conviction on the same player stat. Arbitrage opportunities arise when one platform underprices a prop relative to the other, rewarding traders who spot and exploit these gaps before prices converge.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Each player prop settles based on the final, official statistics recorded for that athlete during the match. Traders should monitor official match records and league announcements to track when results are locked in and payouts are distributed.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can dramatically reprrice individual player props, especially for key contributors. Pre-match press conferences and official roster announcements often trigger sharp moves as traders adjust for availability. Live action during the game itself will shift odds in real time as players accumulate stats; early goals, red cards, or substitutions cascade through all related props, creating dynamic trading opportunities until final whistle.
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