TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$264,423,826
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,171,275,957
831,219
Markets across
15,133
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
973
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Closed: Jul 15, 8:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Uni Catolica vs LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro soccer match will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. On Kalshi, the probability of a tie outcome stands at 91.0%, while a decisive result (either team winning) is at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the official final score from the match scheduled for July 15, 2026. Watch for the completion of the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time on July 15, 2026, which determines the final resolution.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Uni Catolica vs LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. Each outcome—Uni Catolica victory, LDU Quito victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the match result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with applicable rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and protect profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader supply and demand. This market aggregates the views of many independent forecasters with real money at stake, which can reveal insights that differ from sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where consensus may be shifting ahead of kickoff.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, prices are determined by continuous order-matching between buyers and sellers. Each outcome trades as a separate contract, with the price reflecting the probability traders assign to that result. As new information emerges or sentiment changes, traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on liquidity and conviction, giving you a real-time window into market confidence.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result recognized by the relevant football authority. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as odds shift with team news, injuries, or other developments. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can significantly shift perceived win probability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any tactical changes announced by either side will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking news about player availability can trigger sharp price moves. Additionally, any official statements from the clubs or league updates may prompt traders to reassess their forecasts and adjust their positions accordingly.
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