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24H VOL:

$284,628,848

24H TRANSACTIONS:

878,906,579

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,079,118,776

777,374

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13,971

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

887

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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BETA
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets

May 26, 2026, 4:28 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,458
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$206,707
0.4%
Open interest:
$1,676N/A
PredictionHero
Donald Trump 32%
polymarket
Artificial Intelligence 27%
polymarket
Reid Wiseman 21%
polymarket
May 26May 28May 31Jun 3Jun 5Jun 7Jun 9Jun 11Jun 13Jun 16Jun 19Jun 22Jun 25Jun 28Jul 1Jul 3Jul 5Jul 7Jul 920406080100

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

32%chance
Amount

$

$20

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$100

$500

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Intro

This market tracks whether Marco Rubio will be named TIME Person of the Year for 2026. On Polymarket, the probability of Rubio receiving the honor stands at 65.0%. TIME magazine announces its Person of the Year selection annually, with the official announcement typically occurring in December. Resolution will be determined by TIME's official cover announcement or feature article identifying the 2026 Person of the Year, with a deadline of June 30, 2027 for the announcement to be made.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and media punditry. Markets price in real-time trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information, while analysts typically rely on historical patterns and editorial judgment. For TIME Person of the Year 2026, market odds reflect live reassessment of global influence, cultural impact, and newsworthiness as events develop. Comparing Polymarket probabilities to published analyst rankings or media speculation reveals whether professional forecasters and decentralized traders align on who deserves the honor, or whether markets are pricing in factors analysts have overlooked.

The TIME Person of the Year 2026 market resolves on Dec 31, 2026, when TIME magazine announces its annual selection. The outcome is determined by TIME's official announcement of who receives the Person of the Year honor. Markets remain open for trading until that announcement, allowing participants to adjust positions as the year progresses and new information emerges. Once TIME publishes its decision, the corresponding outcome contract resolves to $1, and all other candidates resolve to $0.

Major geopolitical events, scientific breakthroughs, cultural movements, and leadership changes throughout 2026 will drive market repricing. A significant conflict, peace agreement, or humanitarian crisis could elevate a political or military figure. Technological innovation or environmental action might boost a scientist or activist. Economic disruption or financial leadership could favor a business executive or central banker. Media coverage intensity, viral moments, and public sentiment shifts also influence which figures traders believe TIME will honor. As the year unfolds and TIME's selection criteria become clearer through editorial signals, market odds will reflect evolving consensus on who has most shaped global events and consciousness.

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