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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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The Open Championship End of Round 1 Leader
kalshi

The Open Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Volume:
$19,212,069

Jackson Suber

 - Kalshi

Jackson Suber - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jackson Suber

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$497,569
N/A
N/A
$343,655
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210,458
N/A
N/A
$862,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100,743
N/A
N/A
$824,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$964,519
N/A
N/A
$861,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$786,087
N/A
N/A
$643,940
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$698,742
N/A
N/A
$656,739
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$622,000
N/A
N/A
$466,225
Settled
No
kalshi

Sungjae Im

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$538,756
N/A
N/A
$450,856
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Smalley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$526,953
N/A
N/A
$424,630
Settled
No
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$471,456
N/A
N/A
$467,778
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson DeChambeau

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$467,713
N/A
N/A
$336,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$366,203
N/A
N/A
$361,171
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$354,614
N/A
N/A
$327,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329,012
N/A
N/A
$324,544
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Lowry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323,877
N/A
N/A
$314,415
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323,378
N/A
N/A
$316,095
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$315,333
N/A
N/A
$226,407
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Reed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$310,387
N/A
N/A
$281,548
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$309,851
N/A
N/A
$297,267
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$298,762
N/A
N/A
$279,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Bridgeman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$292,150
N/A
N/A
$250,488
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooks Koepka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$278,290
N/A
N/A
$268,080
Settled
No
kalshi

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$275,840
N/A
N/A
$272,217
Settled
No
kalshi

Min Woo Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$261,645
N/A
N/A
$261,008
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$255,746
N/A
N/A
$251,689
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 165

Intro

This market tracks which golfer will hold the lead after the first round concludes at the 2026 The Open Championship. On Kalshi, Jackson Suber leads at 95.4%, with Cameron Young at 3.0%. The market resolves based on official leaderboard standings from The Open Championship, with payouts divided equally if multiple golfers are tied for the lead. Watch the completion of Round 1 on August 2, 2026, when the first-round leaderboard is finalized to determine the market outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official leaderboard position at the conclusion of Round 1. A golfer must be the sole leader or tied for the lead at that moment. If multiple participants share the lead, Yes positions receive $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), with No positions receiving the complement of that payout.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Open Championship Round 1 leader market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for predicting which golfer will hold the lead after the first round of the tournament. The interface tracks current market pricing, 24-hour volume activity, and the probability implied by trader positions. This market reflects crowd sentiment on who will be atop the leaderboard when Round 1 concludes, updated continuously as new information and betting activity flow in throughout the event.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders betting real money on this market may incorporate live tournament data, course conditions, and player performance more dynamically than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public consensus differs from professional oddsmakers' assessments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential Round 1 leader outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders, with higher prices indicating stronger consensus that a particular golfer will lead after Round 1. As new bets flow in and tournament conditions evolve, prices adjust in real time, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at market rates.

This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the first round of the Open Championship concludes and the leaderboard is finalized. The outcome is determined by identifying which golfer holds the lead after all Round 1 play is complete. Resolution is verified against credible public sources reporting the official tournament results. Early leaders who are overtaken during the round do not qualify; only the golfer(s) atop the leaderboard when Round 1 ends will trigger a winning resolution.

Market prices will shift based on real-time tournament performance, weather conditions affecting play, and injury or withdrawal announcements. Strong opening rounds by favorites will push their odds higher, while unexpected struggles by top contenders create opportunities for underdogs. Live scoring updates, course difficulty, and wind patterns all influence trader sentiment. Media commentary and expert analysis can also sway positioning. As Round 1 progresses hole by hole, the market will reflect the evolving leaderboard, with prices converging toward certainty as the round nears completion.