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"The Dog Stars" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
50+
all
2 markets
Polymarket
90%
Kalshi
80%
consensus
85%
spread
80-90%
(10pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
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Vol.
$1.7k
·
Resolves Aug 31, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Time left: 07d:00h:51m
Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
$
Trade on Polymarket
At 90¢ buys you 111 shares | Odds: 89% Total Payout: $111 | Net Profit: $11 Multiplier: 1.11x | ROI: 11% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 7 days to resolution
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 80% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
Description
This event group tracks the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for the movie 'The Dog Stars' as of August 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Multiple markets across different platforms will resolve based on whether the score meets or exceeds specified thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score at the same specified time (10:00 AM ET on August 31, 2026) with a consistent fallback rule for missing data.Primary resolution logic: Rotten Tomatoes official websiteCore resolution logic:
- Use the Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score displayed at 10:00 AM ET on August 31, 2026
- If score data is unavailable by September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, resolve all markets to No
- Each market has its own threshold (e.g., >=50, >=60, etc.) but all share the same data source and timing
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Unavailability: If Rotten Tomatoes has not published the score by the fallback deadline (September 4, 2026), all markets resolve to No
- Score Updates: Only the score displayed at exactly 10:00 AM ET on August 31, 2026 is used - subsequent updates do not affect resolution
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for The Dog Stars is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kalshi
Resolution will be determined by The Dog Stars' Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as of August 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, assessed the Monday following the film's wide release. Each market corresponds to a specific score threshold: the score must exceed the stated threshold value to resolve as Yes. For example, a final score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No, since it does not exceed 75. The thresholds range from above 45 through above 90 in five-point increments, allowing traders to express granular predictions about the film's critical reception across the full spectrum of possible Tomatometer scores.
Frequently asked questions
Traders on Polymarket currently price this market at 89.0%, suggesting strong confidence in a favorable critical score. Analyst forecasts, while not directly mirrored in these odds, often align closely with such sentiment, especially when pre-release buzz is high. The gap between market odds and traditional projections can shift sharply as reviews drop, making this market a live barometer of crowd-driven expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced slightly differently due to varying user bases and liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, Polymarket currently favors Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 89.0%, while Kalshi leans toward The Dog Stars Rotten Tomatoes score? at 88.0%. These divergences often reflect regional trading patterns or differing risk appetites, creating a spread of 1.0 between the two venues.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the film’s Tomatometer score is officially published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number determines whether contracts for specific score ranges are paid out, closing the market based on transparent, widely accepted data.
Key catalysts include early reviewer leaks, trailer reactions, and audience score trends on platforms like Rotten Tomatoes and IMDb. Major shifts can also occur after industry awards announcements or if significant controversy surrounds the film. As Aug 31, 2026 approaches, real-time sentiment on social media and press coverage will heavily influence where this market ultimately lands.
