TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.2b

24H VOL:

$89,825,529

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,361,103,189

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,149,221,759

323,078

Markets across

32,329

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,673

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

T

What will be Taylor Swift's highest daily view count in August 2026?

Jul 28, 2026, 9:35 PM EST - Sep 1, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$78,809
Volume 24h:
$6,723
367%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$47,277
12%

Above 15.1M

 - Kalshi

Above 15.1M - Kalshi

22%

-13.5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

20%25%30%35%

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Vol.

$510.2

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 06d:18h:31m

Will Taylor Swift have above 15.1M daily views at any point during August 2026?

28%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

Taylor Swift's global YouTube viewership will be closely watched throughout August 2026. The focus is on whether her daily views will surpass various high thresholds, reflecting her continued influence and popularity in the music industry.

Kalshi

Multiple markets will resolve to Yes if Taylor Swift achieves single-day global YouTube views exceeding specified thresholds (15.8M, 16M, 16.2M, 16.4M, 16.6M, 16.8M, or 17M) at any point during August 2026. View counts are verified through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. These markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on the highest daily view count recorded during the month.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the real-time odds and price history for the August 2026 viewership race, showing how traders value the likelihood of different outcomes. You can also see the latest 24-hour volume of $6,723 to gauge market activity. The chart displays fluctuations as new information emerges, letting you monitor sentiment around who might attract the most views that month.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously submit bids and asks that determine the current probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s implied chance sits at 28.0%, with price shifts driven by trading volume of $78,809 and new information about potential view counts. Liquidity can vary, so large orders may temporarily move the price.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning result will be the artist or content who achieves the highest single-day view count during August 2026, as measured by authoritative entertainment analytics firms. No further interpretation is needed — the numbers speak for themselves.

Several signals could shift odds in this market: major concert announcements, surprise digital releases, platform algorithm changes, or viral social media moments. Any development that influences listener or viewer behavior — even a high-profile collaboration — may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will watch entertainment news closely, especially around Sep 1, 2026, as expectations firm up.