TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.2b
24H VOL:
$89,825,529
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,361,103,189
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,149,221,759
323,078
Markets across
32,329
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,673
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 15.1M
- Kalshi
Above 15.1M - Kalshi
22%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Vol.
$510.2
·
Resolves Sep 1, 2026
Time left: 06d:18h:31m
$
Taylor Swift's global YouTube viewership will be closely watched throughout August 2026. The focus is on whether her daily views will surpass various high thresholds, reflecting her continued influence and popularity in the music industry.
Multiple markets will resolve to Yes if Taylor Swift achieves single-day global YouTube views exceeding specified thresholds (15.8M, 16M, 16.2M, 16.4M, 16.6M, 16.8M, or 17M) at any point during August 2026. View counts are verified through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. These markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on the highest daily view count recorded during the month.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously submit bids and asks that determine the current probability for each possible outcome. The top outcome’s implied chance sits at 28.0%, with price shifts driven by trading volume of $78,809 and new information about potential view counts. Liquidity can vary, so large orders may temporarily move the price.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning result will be the artist or content who achieves the highest single-day view count during August 2026, as measured by authoritative entertainment analytics firms. No further interpretation is needed — the numbers speak for themselves.
Several signals could shift odds in this market: major concert announcements, surprise digital releases, platform algorithm changes, or viral social media moments. Any development that influences listener or viewer behavior — even a high-profile collaboration — may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will watch entertainment news closely, especially around Sep 1, 2026, as expectations firm up.