TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.2b
24H VOL:
$195,930,743
24H TRANSACTIONS:
950,106,883
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,066,493,046
825,151
Markets across
14,840
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
886
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
This event group tracks individual player performance metrics for the Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match, with aggregated data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. The leading outcome, Breel Embolo recording 1+ shots on target, carries a consensus probability of 99.8% across the three platforms. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA World Cup records. Watch for the match kickoff on June 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, as this marks the event window during which all player prop outcomes will be recorded and settled.
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina, scheduled for June 18 at 3:00 PM ET.
Each market resolves to Yes if the designated player records at least the specified number of goals during the entire Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina FIFA World Cup match on June 18, 2026, covering regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Markets are offered at multiple goal thresholds (1+, 2+, 3+) depending on the player. Resolution is based on official match records of goals scored. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined solely by their recorded goals for that match.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 18 at 3:00 PM ET.
Prediction markets like those featured here operate on continuous order-book pricing, where traders themselves set odds through buy and sell orders rather than a fixed sportsbook line. This creates dynamic, real-time adjustment to new information and shifts in trader conviction. Sportsbooks, by contrast, post static or slow-moving lines and profit from the spread. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper consensus because traders have direct financial exposure and no house edge—making them a useful benchmark for comparing against traditional sportsbook props on player performance.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence on the same player prop. Polymarket may show stronger conviction on both-teams-to-score scenarios, while Kalshi traders might concentrate on goalkeeper saves. Differences in market depth, settlement rules interpretation, and regional user bases also drive wedges between platforms. Savvy traders monitor these gaps to identify arbitrage or to spot which platform's consensus feels more reliable for a given prop.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina match concludes and player statistics are verified against credible public sources. Each player prop outcome is confirmed by comparing final match data—goals, assists, saves, and other tracked metrics—to official records. Resolution happens automatically once the event is complete and the data is finalized, allowing traders to settle their positions and move on to the next fixture.
Team news, injury reports, and lineup announcements will shift player prop odds as traders reassess availability and playing time. Pre-match analysis, betting syndicates entering large positions, and social media consensus can also drive rapid repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or dominant possession will reshape expectations around individual player output. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking tactical changes announced before kickoff represent final catalysts that typically trigger the most volatile price movements in this market.
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