TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.4b

24H VOL:

$262,303,213

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,753,729

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,141,102,016

829,983

Markets across

14,982

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

954

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Sports
Politics
Crypto
Elections
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Science and Technology
Entertainment
Solana above ___ on March 7?
Crypto
polymarket
kalshi

Solana above ___ on March 7? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$203,162
PredictionHero
70 100%
polymarket
80 100%
polymarket
$80 or above 100%
kalshi
Feb 2026Feb 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jul 2…406080100

Closed: Mar 7, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana's price will exceed various thresholds ($30–$130) on March 7, 2026. Markets are offered on both Polymarket (using Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET) and Kalshi (using CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average at 5:00 PM EST). The core question is identical across platforms: will SOL trade above a specified price at a defined moment on that date?

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement timing divergence (5-hour gap) combined with distinct data sources (Binance 1m candle vs. CF Benchmarks RTI index). Both are valid and resolvable, but will produce independent outcomes.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate markets with independent settlement values. Polymarket settles at noon ET; Kalshi settles at 5 PM EST the same day. Price movement between 12:00 PM and 5:00 PM ET will create divergent resolutions. Use both sources to hedge directional exposure, but do not assume they will agree.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET (noon). Resolution source is the official Binance trading platform (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). Precision determined by Binance's decimal places. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final Close price higher than the price specified in the title.'
  • Kalshi: Uses CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second simple average calculated in the 60 seconds before 5:00 PM EST (5 hours after Polymarket settlement). Resolution is Yes if this average exceeds the threshold. Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EST is above [threshold] at 5 PM EST on Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

Company

Brand Kit

API & Data Licensing

Methodology

Help Center

Disclaimer

Terms of Use

Privacy Policy

Contact

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.19.1PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.