TOTAL VOLUME:

$95.4b

24H VOL:

$122,230,774

24H TRANSACTIONS:

928,180,930

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,007,224,557

802,219

Markets across

14,190

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 5

PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 5? Odds & Prediction Markets

Jul 12, 2026, 7:05 PM EST - Jul 18, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$7,878
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$3,822
3%
Open interest:
$6,936
0%
PredictionHero
Trace Crowe 98%
polymarket
Trace Crowe 3%
kalshi
Jens Dantorp 98%
polymarket
Jul 12, 11:00 PMJul 12, 11:06 PMJul 13, 05:15 AMJul 13, 11:15 AMJul 13, 02:00 PMJul 13, 02:30 PMJul 13, 04:45 PMJul 13, 05:00 PMJul 1…020406080100
Outcome
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Liquidity
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24h
7d
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Ends in
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Description

This event group covers individual player Top 5 finish markets for the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, a PGA Tour event. Kalshi markets resolve to Yes if a player wins the tournament, while Polymarket markets resolve to Yes if a player finishes in the Top 5 (including ties). The two platforms measure fundamentally different outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Kalshi requires tournament victory (1st place only); Polymarket requires Top 5 finish (places 1-5, including ties). These are distinct outcome definitions with no logical equivalence.Hero tip: Recognize that Kalshi and Polymarket markets on the same player are fundamentally different bets. A 3rd-place finish is a Polymarket Yes and a Kalshi No. Use each market independently based on your view of the specific outcome (winner vs. Top 5 finisher). Do not arbitrage between them.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Winner-only resolution. All 146 markets resolve to Yes if and only if the named player wins the championship outright. No Top 5 provision; 2nd-5th place finishes resolve to No. No explicit deadline or source stated, but standard PGA Tour official results implied.
  • Polymarket: Top 5 finish resolution. All 102 markets resolve to Yes if the named player finishes in the top 5, including ties. Explicit deadline: July 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET. Primary resolution source: official PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/). If results not announced by deadline, resolves to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

Each golfer's market resolves to Yes if that golfer wins the Corales Puntacana Championship. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, Tournament Winner markets resolve to No. Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets for that golfer resolve to Fair Market Value in such cases.

Frequently asked questions

The Corales Puntacana Championship top 5 market aggregates prediction odds across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting traders bet on which golfers will finish in the top five at this PGA Tour event. Polymarket currently favors Will Trace Crowe finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship? at 98.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Alejandro Del Rey win the Corales Puntacana Championship? at 25.0%. The dashboard displays real-time pricing, historical volume trends, and cross-platform consensus, helping you compare implied odds against traditional sportsbooks and identify value before the tournament begins.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds directly from trader behavior and capital allocation, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Because traders profit or lose based on accuracy, these venues tend to adjust quickly to new information—injuries, course conditions, recent form—without the margin constraints sportsbooks maintain. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred book can reveal mispriced favorites or underdogs, especially in niche fields where sportsbook liquidity is thinner.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence even on the same outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi may also differ in how they weight recent betting activity versus historical data, and liquidity depth varies between venues. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform reprices faster than the other, rewarding traders who monitor both sites closely.

This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the Corales Puntacana Championship concludes and final leaderboard results are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which golfers finish in the top five positions at the tournament. Until that date, odds will fluctuate based on player news, betting patterns, and market sentiment.

Player injuries, withdrawals, or illness can shift odds dramatically, especially for favorites. Recent tournament performance, course-fit analysis, and weather forecasts for the Puntacana resort typically drive repricing in the weeks leading up to the event. Major betting flows on either platform can also trigger momentum, and any changes to the field or official PGA Tour announcements will ripple across both venues. Monitor player social media and tour news for early signals.

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