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PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 5
kalshi
polymarket

PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 5

Volume:
$6,850,424

Stefano Mazzoli

 - Kalshi

Stefano Mazzoli - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 2:18 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stefano Mazzoli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212,719
N/A
N/A
$122,279
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Todd Clements

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Todd Clements

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$830,121
N/A
N/A
$369,271
Settled
No
polymarket

Benjamin James

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Benjamin James

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$385,407
N/A
N/A
$159,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Gordon Sargent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$432,161
N/A
N/A
$259,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Blades Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405,672
N/A
N/A
$237,052
Settled
No
polymarket

Blades Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mackenzie Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405,499
N/A
N/A
$173,835
Settled
No
polymarket

Mackenzie Hughes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alejandro Del Rey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$394,884
N/A
N/A
$195,769
Settled
No
polymarket

Alejandro Del Rey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
5.9¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Pendrith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$384,125
N/A
N/A
$256,113
Settled
No
polymarket

Taylor Pendrith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Hubbard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$231,678
N/A
N/A
$231,678
Settled
No
polymarket

Mark Hubbard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Emiliano Grillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$191,582
N/A
N/A
$191,582
Settled
No
polymarket

Emiliano Grillo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Eckroat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139,666
N/A
N/A
$86,972
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Eckroat

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$118,004
N/A
N/A
$81,446
Settled
No
polymarket

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stephan Jaeger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114,273
N/A
N/A
$85,095
Settled
No
polymarket

Stephan Jaeger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chan Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111,769
N/A
N/A
$69,305
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 252

Intro

This market tracks whether Benjamin James will finish in the top five at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, a PGA Tour event. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by official PGA Tour records at https://www.pgatour.com/. Note that a Resolution Divergence Alert is active on this event due to differing resolution criteria across platforms. Watch the tournament conclusion on July 19, 2026, when final leaderboard standings will be official.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Kalshi requires tournament victory (1st place only); Polymarket requires Top 5 finish (places 1-5, including ties). These are distinct outcome definitions with no logical equivalence.Hero tip: Recognize that Kalshi and Polymarket markets on the same player are fundamentally different bets. A 3rd-place finish is a Polymarket Yes and a Kalshi No. Use each market independently based on your view of the specific outcome (winner vs. Top 5 finisher). Do not arbitrage between them.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Winner-only resolution. All 146 markets resolve to Yes if and only if the named player wins the championship outright. No Top 5 provision; 2nd-5th place finishes resolve to No. No explicit deadline or source stated, but standard PGA Tour official results implied.
  • Polymarket: Top 5 finish resolution. All 102 markets resolve to Yes if the named player finishes in the top 5, including ties. Explicit deadline: July 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET. Primary resolution source: official PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/). If results not announced by deadline, resolves to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Kalshi

Each golfer's market resolves to Yes if that golfer wins the Corales Puntacana Championship. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, Tournament Winner markets resolve to No. Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets for that golfer resolve to Fair Market Value in such cases.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi derive odds directly from trader behavior and capital allocation, often reflecting sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Because traders profit or lose based on accuracy, these venues tend to adjust quickly to new information—injuries, course conditions, recent form—without the margin constraints sportsbooks maintain. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred book can reveal mispriced favorites or underdogs, especially in niche fields where sportsbook liquidity is thinner.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price divergence even on the same outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi may also differ in how they weight recent betting activity versus historical data, and liquidity depth varies between venues. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform reprices faster than the other, rewarding traders who monitor both sites closely.

Player injuries, withdrawals, or illness can shift odds dramatically, especially for favorites. Recent tournament performance, course-fit analysis, and weather forecasts for the Puntacana resort typically drive repricing in the weeks leading up to the event. Major betting flows on either platform can also trigger momentum, and any changes to the field or official PGA Tour announcements will ripple across both venues. Monitor player social media and tour news for early signals.