TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.9b
24H VOL:
$84,685,924
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,100,123
337,636
Markets across
33,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,273
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 50
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Above 50 - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 10, 2026
Time left: 13d:23h:30m
Orbitals Metacritic score?
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Description
This set of markets evaluates the critical reception of the entertainment product 'Orbitals' by tracking its Metacritic score one week after its release. The outcome depends on whether the aggregated reviewer scores reach various thresholds, offering perspectives on its quality from professional critics.
Kalshi
The markets assess whether the Metacritic score for 'Orbitals' exceeds specific numerical thresholds seven days after its release at 10:00AM ET. Each market corresponds to a different score benchmark, ranging from above 10 to above 95. The determining score is derived from the first platform listed on Metacritic's page for Orbitals if no specific platform is designated. It is important to note that Metacritic has not endorsed these markets or affiliated with their creation, and all references to Metacritic are used descriptively without implying any endorsement or partnership. The resolution of each market hinges solely on the numerical Metascore achieved, with 'Yes' indicating the threshold was met or exceeded, and 'No' indicating it was not.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect a crowd-sourced outlook shaped by trader sentiment and betting patterns. While analysts may issue point estimates or ranges, this market translates expectations into explicit probabilities for each possible Metacritic score. These odds often diverge from polls or reviews because they incorporate real-money incentives and can shift rapidly with new trailers, developer news, or early access feedback.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Orbitals Metacritic score is officially published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as calculated by Metacritic and widely reported, will determine which contract pays out. Until then, traders can continue to adjust positions based on evolving expectations.
Key signals that could shift this market include major reviews from influential critics, announcements about game delays or patches, and early access impressions from beta testers. Any data point that affects expectations for critical reception — whether positive or negative — may cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, if competing titles release close to the same window, that could also influence trader sentiment and odds.
