TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.9b
24H VOL:
$84,685,924
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,100,123
337,636
Markets across
33,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,273
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 40
- Kalshi
Above 40 - Kalshi
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 26
Aug 26
Aug 27
Aug 27
Aug 27
Vol.
$7.1k
·
Resolves Sep 11, 2026
Time left: 14d:23h:32m
$
This set of markets evaluates the critical reception of the video game Onimusha: Way of the Sword by tracking its Metacritic score one week after its release. Each market corresponds to a different score threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how well the game will be received by critics.
The markets resolve based on the Metacritic score of Onimusha: Way of the Sword, assessed seven days after the game's release at 10:00AM ET. For any market where the platform is not specified, the score used will be the first one listed on the Metacritic page for the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a specific numerical threshold; if the score meets or exceeds that threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. It is important to note that neither Metacritic nor the game developers have endorsed these markets, and any references to Metacritic are purely descriptive and not indicative of endorsement or affiliation.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of expectations, including fan sentiment and real-time data. While analysts may provide detailed reviews and scores based on gameplay and quality metrics, traders in this market incorporate those insights alongside market dynamics and recent news, sometimes leading to divergence from traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome showing a chance of 99.0%. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of participants about where the Metacritic score will land, adjusted for liquidity and trader activity. Volume of $49,196 supports these price discoveries.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Metacritic score is officially published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be compared against the market’s defined categories to determine the winning outcome, reflecting the game’s reception at release.
Key signals that could shift this market include early reviews from critics, trailers or gameplay reveals that hint at quality, and any announcements about delays or changes to the release schedule. Major updates from the developer, leaks about the score, or shifts in pre-release hype can also cause traders to adjust their positions as the resolution date approaches.