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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,139,122,135

330,715

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33,075

events

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4,023

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Ohio Senate winner?
Elections
kalshi

Ohio Senate winner?

Dec 4, 2024, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 4, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,290,164
Volume 24h:
$85,509
2,065%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,675,212
5%

Democratic party

 - Kalshi

Democratic party - Kalshi

57%

+5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

50%52%54%56%58%

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Vol.

$98.6k

·

Resolves Jan 4, 2027

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?

55%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 55% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% | APY: 379% 131 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Democrats will win the Senate race in Ohio. On Kalshi, the current probability that Democrats will win is 51.0%, while Republicans have a 50.0% chance. The outcome will be resolved based on the party of the senator sworn in for the term beginning in 2027. Watch for the swearing-in of the Ohio senator on 2027-01-04, which will determine the market result.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which party's representative is sworn in as Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2027. The market resolves to Yes if either a Republican or Democratic party representative assumes the office, with each party having a separate market outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Ohio Senate winner market is priced as a binary contract on the top outcome: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects the bid-ask spread and cumulative trader positions. Prices range from 0 to 100, where each point represents 1 percent implied probability. As new information emerges—polling shifts, endorsements, or campaign events—traders adjust positions, moving the price to reflect updated expectations of a Republican victory by Jan 4, 2027.

The Ohio Senate winner market resolves on Jan 4, 2027, following the official election results. The outcome is determined by which candidate wins the most votes in the 2026 Ohio Senate race. Resolution occurs after vote counting is complete and the winner is certified by Ohio election authorities. Traders should monitor official state announcements and news coverage in the days following the election to confirm the final result and market settlement.

Key catalysts for Ohio Senate winner include candidate announcements, debate performances, major endorsements, and shifts in voter registration or turnout models. Economic data, national political momentum, and campaign spending can also influence trader sentiment. Polling releases—especially late-stage surveys—often trigger sharp price moves as the market reprices probabilities. Unexpected candidate statements, scandals, or external events affecting Ohio voters may create volatility. Monitor news flow and betting volume spikes to identify when the market is reacting to new information ahead of Jan 4, 2027.