TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.9b
24H VOL:
$84,685,924
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,100,123
337,636
Markets across
33,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,273
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
70-80M
- Polymarket
70-80M - Polymarket
90%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 27
Vol.
$45.1k
·
Resolves Aug 29, 2026
Time left: 02d:09h:29m
$
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Currently, odds from this market show a strong inclination toward higher view ranges, contrasting with some analyst forecasts that predict more conservative performance. While analysts may emphasize production cycles or audience fatigue, traders in this market are pricing in factors like MrBeast’s historical trends and promotional strategies. The gap between these views can shift dramatically as new promotional content or pre-release data emerges.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through open betting, reflecting the likelihood of different view-range outcomes for the next MrBeast video in week one. The leading outcome currently holds a chance of 89.5%, with volume of $46,310 indicating strong participation. Prices adjust continuously based on new bets and public sentiment leading up to the video’s release.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the view count for MrBeast’s next video in its first week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact figure will be compared against the defined ranges to determine which outcome is settled. No further data or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly available metrics.
Key signals include MrBeast’s pre-release teasers, announcements about release timing, and any unexpected platform issues or algorithm changes that could affect view counts. Major social media engagement spikes or collaborations announced close to launch can also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any competing content that might draw viewers away from MrBeast’s channel could cause price adjustments in this market.