TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Jude Bellingham
- Kalshi
Jude Bellingham - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 17, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks individual player performance in the Norway vs. England FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 11, 2026, including goals, assists, shots, shots on target, and saves. Across Kalshi, Predict, Limitless, and Polymarket, the leading outcome—Jude Bellingham scoring 1 or more goals—shows a consensus probability of 100.0%, according to FIFA.com as the resolution source. Watch for kickoff on July 11, 2026, when the match window opens and player statistics begin accumulating.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Time window scope mismatch (extra time inclusion/exclusion) and source hierarchy fragmentation across platforms. Kalshi includes extra time; Polymarket and Predict exclude it. Limitless requires FIFA.com with 72-hour data window, while others accept credible reporting after 24 hours.Hero tip: If Norway vs. England goes to extra time, Kalshi player prop markets will count stats from that period, but Polymarket and Predict will not. Choose your platform accordingly. For Limitless, ensure FIFA.com publishes data within 72 hours; otherwise, credible reporting consensus is used.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: Includes entire match: regulation, stoppage time, AND extra time periods. All player stats (goals, assists, shots, etc.) count across full match duration. Primary source: official statistics from governing body or event organizers; 24-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)'
- Polymarket: Restricts to 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. Player stats count only within this window. Primary source: official statistics from governing body/event organizers; 24-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
- Predict: Restricts to 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. Player stats count only within this window. Primary source: official statistics from governing body/event organizers; 2-hour fallback to credible reporting (faster than others). Key Quote: 'within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
- Limitless: Restricts to regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only); extra time and penalty shootouts excluded. Primary source: FIFA.com official match report only; 72-hour data availability window required. If data unavailable after 72 hours, credible reporting consensus used. Key Quote: 'during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only)' and 'as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report'
Polymarket
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Norway and England, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00 PM ET.
Kalshi
Each market resolves Yes if the specified player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Norway vs England professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Settlement is based on the player's combined goal and assist totals throughout the match. If a player is listed as active but does not enter the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by their recorded goals and assists.
Predict
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Norway and England, scheduled for July 11 at 5:00 PM ET.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Erling Haaland scores at least one goal during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Quarter-final match scheduled for July 11, 2026, 21:00 UTC, as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. Own goals by Erling Haaland do not count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 11, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates its own order book and attracts different trader demographics, so liquidity, risk appetite, and information flow vary between venues. Kalshi and Predict may also structure their player props slightly differently—one might focus on individual goal scorers while the other emphasizes assists—leading to different implied probabilities. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs and settlement timing differences mean prices don't always converge instantly, creating opportunities for sharp bettors to find value.
Team lineups and injury announcements are the biggest catalysts—if a key attacking player is ruled out, their odds drop sharply while teammates' odds rise. Recent form, head-to-head history, and venue conditions also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking tactical shifts, weather forecasts, or surprise roster changes can trigger rapid repricing across both platforms. Monitor official team news and pre-match press conferences closely, as even minor updates about player fitness or formation can shift the balance of this market significantly in the final hours before kickoff.