TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$264,423,826
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,171,275,957
831,219
Markets across
15,133
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
973
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
In the upcoming NWSL game between NJ/NY Gotham FC and Washington Spirit, scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Washington Spirit match originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming NWSL game between NJ/NY Gotham FC and Washington Spirit, scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Washington Spirit match originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this market, prediction market participants may price exact scores differently than traditional oddsmakers, especially for less-common outcomes. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed. However, both ultimately converge toward the true probability as new information emerges and bettors exploit mispricings.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker, where buying or selling a particular scoreline moves its odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, though less-favored scorelines remain available at longer odds. Prices adjust continuously as new money flows in and match-day information becomes available. Liquidity varies across different exact scores, so some outcomes may have tighter spreads than others. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to shifting expectations right up until the final whistle.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match between Gotham FC and Washington Spirit concludes. The outcome is determined by the final scoreline at the end of regulation time, verified against credible public sources covering professional soccer. Whichever exact score outcome matches the official result will be marked correct, and all traders holding that position will receive their payout. Other exact score predictions will expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing traders to see results quickly.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if a key player becomes unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders reassess the likelihood of different scorelines. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move the market in the hours before kickoff as they deploy capital based on proprietary analysis. Live match developments, such as an early goal or red card, will cause rapid repricing of remaining exact scores. Public injury reports, official team announcements, and analyst commentary can also trigger notable shifts in trader positioning.
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