TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.3b
24H VOL:
$249,147,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,753,729
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,132,145,370
829,293
Markets across
15,026
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
952
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Will Lamar Jackson win the MVP?
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Intro
This market tracks whether Lamar Jackson will win the NFL's Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP award for the 2026-27 season. On Kalshi, the probability of Jackson winning stands at 11.0%, with Josh Allen also at 11.0%. The market resolves according to the official Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP award winner as determined by the voting process. Watch for the MVP announcement on or around March 14, 2027, when the award will be officially presented.
Kalshi
If Ashton Jeanty wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lamar Jackson wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Allen wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Mahomes wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Burrow wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Daniels wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Herbert wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jalen Hurts wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If CJ Stroud wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brock Purdy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jared Goff wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Williams wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Love wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baker Mayfield wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dak Prescott wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Stafford wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trevor Lawrence wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bijan Robinson wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyler Murray wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tua Tagovailoa wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drake Maye wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Darnold wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryce Young wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonathan Taylor wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bo Nix wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Penix Jr wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Rodgers wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If JJ McCarthy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Jefferson wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ja'Marr Chase wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jahmyr Gibbs wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saquon Barkley wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cam Ward wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Puka Nacua wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian McCaffrey wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Myles Garrett wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Micah Parsons wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaxson Dart wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Shough wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Brown wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Jacobs wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If CeeDee Lamb wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Jones wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability and balance action, while prediction markets price outcomes based on live supply and demand from thousands of traders. For MVP races, prediction markets may move faster on breaking news—injuries, performance surges, or playoff developments—whereas sportsbooks may lag or limit adjustments. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion differs from professional bookmaker estimates.
On Kalshi, MVP Winner contracts are priced as binary yes-or-no outcomes for each candidate. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading candidate currently trades at 11.0% implied probability, reflecting trader conviction that this player will win. Prices move continuously as new trades execute; you can buy or sell at the best available bid-ask spread. Volume concentrates on the frontrunner, but secondary candidates remain tradeable. Kalshi's order-matching engine ensures transparent pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions throughout the market window until Mar 14, 2027.
The MVP Winner market resolves on Mar 14, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official announcement of the award winner by the relevant league or governing body. Once the winner is declared, the corresponding contract settles to 100 cents and all other contracts settle to zero. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact timing of the official announcement may vary, but the market will close and resolve as soon as the result is confirmed.
MVP odds shift based on on-field performance, injury updates, and voting patterns. A candidate's breakout game, statistical milestone, or playoff run typically strengthens their odds, while injuries or slumps weaken them. Media narratives and pundit commentary influence voter perception and trader sentiment. Late-season momentum swings can reshape the race dramatically. Voting announcements or leaks from award committees may trigger sharp repricing. Team success, head-to-head matchups, and season-ending statistics all factor into final voting, so traders monitor these developments closely through Mar 14, 2027.
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