TOTAL VOLUME:
$116b
24H VOL:
$82,664,182
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,351,258,445
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,130,005,197
320,351
Markets across
31,379
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,474
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
"Mutiny" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
Above 45
all
2 markets
Kalshi
100%
Polymarket
100%
consensus
100%
spread
100-100%
(0pp)
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 23
Aug 24
Vol.
$35.3k
·
Resolves Aug 24, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 24, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for the movie Mutiny as of August 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Multiple markets across different platforms are centered around whether the score meets or exceeds various thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same data source (Rotten Tomatoes) and evaluation criteria ("All Critics" Tomatometer score at a specific time) with consistent thresholds and fallback rules.Primary resolution logic: Rotten Tomatoes official websiteCore resolution logic:
- Check the Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Mutiny at 10:00 AM ET on August 24, 2026
- If the score meets or exceeds the threshold specified in the market, resolve to "Yes"
- If the score is below the threshold, resolve to "No"
- If no data is available by August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, resolve to "No"
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Unavailability: If Rotten Tomatoes does not publish the score by the specified deadline, all markets resolve to "No"
- Score Updates: Only the score displayed at exactly 10:00 AM ET on August 24, 2026 is considered; subsequent updates do not affect resolution
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Mutiny is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on August 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Mutiny's Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as measured on Monday, July 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the Monday following the film's wide release. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific score threshold: the market resolves Yes if the Tomatometer score strictly exceeds the stated threshold value (e.g., a score of 75 resolves Yes for "Above 45" through "Above 70" but No for "Above 75" and higher thresholds). The score must be strictly above the strike value to trigger a Yes resolution; a score exactly equal to the threshold does not qualify.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader sentiment, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their expectations for the film’s reception, prediction market odds reflect real-time betting activity and can shift rapidly with new trailers, reviews, or buzz, often showing a different outlook than expert predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Tomatometer percentage will set the result, closing all positions based on that verified number.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves around Aug 24, 2026. Early reviews, trailer reactions, and social media buzz may influence trader sentiment. Any significant news about the film's reception, cast performances, or director commentary could also impact odds. As release dates approach, preview screenings and critic scores often cause rapid market adjustments. Additionally, if competing films dominate headlines, it might affect expectations for "Mutiny"'s performance, further moving this market.
