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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
polymarket

Who will win Bilibili Gaming vs LYON?

Volume:
$6,301,216

Game 3 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 3 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 4:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,654,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,473,285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,308,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,206,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$415,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$58,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 4?

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,773
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 62

Intro

This market tracks whether any player will achieve a quadra kill during Game 2 of the Bilibili Gaming versus LYON best-of-five matchup in the League of Legends Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs Upper bracket semifinal. On Polymarket, the leading outcome "Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?" is priced at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official match records from gol.gg. Watch for the match scheduled on July 5 at 11:00 PM ET to see whether either team's players generate the required four-player elimination during the second game.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and LYON in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 5 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bilibili Gaming vs LYON MSI Playoffs match tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this best-of-five encounter. The interface displays the current probability of each outcome, along with 24-hour trading volume and liquidity depth. Traders can view the full order book, recent transaction history, and key support and resistance levels. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, giving participants a live window into how the prediction market is pricing this high-stakes playoff matchup between two elite League of Legends teams.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For esports events like this one, prediction markets may incorporate faster-moving information from community analysts and team insiders, whereas sportsbooks rely on established oddsmaking models. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders are pricing the matchup differently, highlighting potential value or consensus shifts.

This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the playoff match concludes and the final series result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual game count and winner recorded in the official Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs bracket. No further action is required from participants; the resolution is automatic once the event is complete and confirmed through established esports news sources and the tournament's official channels.

Several catalysts could shift odds before the match begins. Roster announcements, player substitutions, or last-minute coaching changes for either team would likely trigger repricing. Scrim results or performance clips leaked by insiders often influence trader sentiment in esports markets. Meta shifts in the current League patch, champion buffs or nerfs, and injury or availability status updates can also move the needle significantly. Media narratives, expert predictions from prominent analysts, and betting syndicates entering or exiting positions may amplify volatility. Any official statement from team management about preparation or confidence levels could sway the probability in either direction.