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Lions FC vs. Perth Glory FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Lions FC or Perth Glory FC?

Volume:
$1,196,252

Spain

 - Kalshi

Spain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 5:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$241,104
N/A
N/A
$203,326
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$607,636
N/A
N/A
$574,837
Settled
No
kalshi

Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$347,453
N/A
N/A
$256,208
Settled
No
polymarket

Lions FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Perth Glory FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which team will score first in the upcoming match between Lions FC and Perth Glory FC. The aggregated consensus probability for neither team scoring first stands at 89.2% across Polymarket and Kalshi, with official match statistics serving as the resolution source. The critical catalyst to monitor will be the match itself, scheduled for July 21, 2026, as this will determine whether any team manages to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi source data describes a Spain vs. Belgium FIFA World Cup match (July 10, 2026), not the Lions FC vs. Perth Glory FC match (July 21, 2026) stated in the event group name. This is a data integrity failure that prevents unified resolution logic from being established.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket as the sole reliable source for Lions FC vs. Perth Glory FC resolution. Request corrected Kalshi market data before attempting to reconcile these markets. Do not assume the two platforms are pricing the same event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves on first goal within 90 minutes + stoppage time of Lions FC vs. Perth Glory FC (July 21, 2026, 5:30 AM ET). Three outcomes: Lions FC, Perth Glory FC, or Neither. Extra time and penalties excluded. Primary source: official governing body statistics within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Data provided describes Spain vs. Belgium FIFA World Cup (July 10, 2026), not Lions FC vs. Perth Glory FC. Rules cover entire game including extra time and stoppage. This is a source mismatch and does not correspond to the stated event group.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Lions FC and Perth Glory FC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions FC" if Lions FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Perth Glory FC" if Perth Glory FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team scores the first goal during the complete Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup match on July 10, 2026. The "complete match" encompasses all regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods that may be played. If an own goal occurs and is the first goal of the match, resolution is determined by the team to which the goal is officially awarded. The market covers three possible outcomes: Spain scores first, Belgium scores first, or no goal is scored during the entire match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Traders buy and sell shares based on their conviction, so prices shift continuously with new information and sentiment. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which apply margins and limits, prediction markets often reflect sharper consensus because participants have direct financial exposure. However, sportsbook odds may move faster during live events and carry tighter spreads due to professional market-making. Both reflect probability estimates, but prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed knowledge while sportsbooks optimize for profitability.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites, which naturally creates price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi also operate under distinct regulatory frameworks and fee structures, affecting how traders price risk. Timing lags between platforms mean one may react faster to breaking news or team updates. Arbitrage opportunities emerge when spreads widen, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you identify value and understand where the broader market leans on this outcome.

Team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes can significantly shift odds, especially if key attacking or defensive players are unavailable. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and pitch quality may affect play style and scoring likelihood. Media coverage and expert predictions can sway sentiment, particularly if respected analysts highlight tactical mismatches. As kickoff approaches, live odds typically tighten as uncertainty resolves. Monitoring team social media, official announcements, and pre-match press conferences helps you stay ahead of price moves.