TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$264,423,826
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,171,275,957
831,219
Markets across
15,133
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
973
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Closed: Jul 23, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhao Zhao and Shu Muto in the ITF Men Wuning, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Shu Muto. This market will resolve to 'Shu Muto' if Shu Muto advances against Zhao Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhao Zhao and Shu Muto in the ITF Men Wuning, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhao Zhao' if Zhao Zhao advances against Shu Muto. This market will resolve to 'Shu Muto' if Shu Muto advances against Zhao Zhao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. While sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, this market prices outcomes through continuous trading, which can lead to sharper or slower reactions to new information. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders see the match differently, though both aim to forecast the same result.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability estimates. As participants buy or sell shares representing each player, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief about who will win. The current odds reflect the latest trading activity, and you can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official tournament records and match result. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust their positions as new information about player form, conditions, or other factors emerges.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins: recent player performance and rankings, head-to-head records, court surface preferences, injury reports, and weather conditions at the venue. Tournament seeding announcements and pre-match commentary from analysts can also influence trader sentiment. As the event date approaches, any news regarding player fitness or withdrawal could trigger sharp price movements, while betting volume itself may accelerate as more traders enter positions.
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