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404,175

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How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

How high will WTI oil get by Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$275,674

82.01 or above

 - Kalshi

82.01 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Jul 20, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,908
N/A
N/A
$18,465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,732
N/A
N/A
$29,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,186
N/A
N/A
$24,609
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,140
N/A
N/A
$14,268
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,559
N/A
N/A
$12,238
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,149
N/A
N/A
$10,486
Settled
Yes
kalshi

92.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,932
N/A
N/A
$5,922
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,470
N/A
N/A
$2,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,777
N/A
N/A
$702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,463
N/A
N/A
$4,083
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,420
N/A
N/A
$2,916
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,773
N/A
N/A
$2,719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,735
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
Yes
kalshi

76.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,389
N/A
N/A
$2,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,378
N/A
N/A
$2,395
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,242
N/A
N/A
$2,577
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,190
N/A
N/A
$3,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,136
N/A
N/A
$1,466
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,788
N/A
N/A
$2,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,772
N/A
N/A
$2,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,668
N/A
N/A
$2,033
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,523
N/A
N/A
$1,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,340
N/A
N/A
$1,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89.01 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,058
N/A
N/A
$1,058
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84.51 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$910
N/A
N/A
$848
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 45

Description

These markets assess how high West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices will rise by the end of July 2026. Each market represents a different price ceiling, allowing traders to bet on whether oil will reach or exceed specific price levels during the period from early July through late July 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by ICE's reported maximum WTI front-month settle price between market issuance on July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, ranging from $73.01 to $82.01 per barrel. A market resolves to Yes if the maximum settle price recorded during this window exceeds its designated threshold. The resolution uses exclusively the set of WTI front-month settle prices as reported by ICE, with no other price data considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the WTI oil price market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this prediction market centered on crude oil futures. The interface displays current trader sentiment, 24-hour volume activity via $14,486, and cumulative trading volume of $275,674 across all participants. You can monitor how the probability shifts as new information emerges about global supply, demand, geopolitical events, and macroeconomic conditions that influence West Texas Intermediate crude pricing through the contract's expiration date.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate live market data and collective intelligence. While energy analysts publish price targets based on models and fundamental analysis, this market aggregates thousands of individual bets, creating a dynamic probability estimate. Comparing the current odds to published analyst consensus on WTI price direction can reveal where the crowd sees asymmetric risk or where consensus may be underpricing volatility heading into the resolution window.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that WTI will reach the specified level by the deadline. As new information surfaces—OPEC announcements, inventory reports, geopolitical developments, or macroeconomic shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price up or down in real time.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the maximum WTI front-month settlement price reaches the specified threshold during the contract period. Once the deadline passes, the final outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed to winning traders based on their position size and the market's closing odds.

Major catalysts include OPEC production decisions, US inventory reports, geopolitical tensions affecting supply routes, and macroeconomic data signaling recession or demand strength. Unexpected refinery outages, hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico, and shifts in US monetary policy can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, developments in renewable energy adoption, electric vehicle sales, and global recession fears all influence trader positioning. Real-time news flow and earnings from major energy firms also drive intraday volatility in this market.