TOTAL VOLUME:
$92.3b
24H VOL:
$338,929,275
24H TRANSACTIONS:
885,851,817
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,146,969,739
779,810
Markets across
14,080
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
877
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
46%
VS.
Kalshi:
54%
Georgia Senate winner? Odds & Prediction Markets
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Georgia?
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Intro
This market tracks whether a Democratic candidate will win the U.S. Senate seat representing Georgia for the term beginning in 2027. On Kalshi, Democrats are priced at 82.0% to capture the seat, while Republicans stand at 19.0%. The market resolves based on whether a Democratic party representative is sworn in as Georgia's Senator for the 2027 term, as determined by official election results. Watch the November 2026 general election results, which will be the decisive catalyst for market resolution on January 4, 2027.
Kalshi
The Georgia Senate market resolves based on the party affiliation of the candidate sworn in as U.S. Senator for the term beginning in 2027. A Republican party representative being sworn in resolves the market to Yes under one outcome, while a Democratic party representative being sworn in resolves it to Yes under another outcome. The resolution depends on the official swearing-in of the elected Senator for the specified term.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, the Georgia Senate winner market is priced through a binary contract structure where traders buy or sell shares representing the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects 85.0% implied probability, meaning the market prices that scenario as the more likely result. Prices move continuously as new trades execute, with each transaction updating the contract value. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final outcome, creating incentives for accurate pricing. The market's depth and volume of $3,840 in the last 24 hours indicate active participation and competitive price discovery.
The Georgia Senate winner market resolves on Jan 4, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official results of Georgia's Senate election as certified by state authorities. The market will settle based on which candidate wins the race according to final vote tallies and any applicable recount or legal processes. Traders should monitor official election announcements and state certification timelines to understand when the outcome becomes definitive and the market closes.
Key catalysts for Georgia Senate winner odds include campaign events, debate performances, endorsements, and breaking news about candidate viability. Economic data, voter registration trends, and early voting patterns can shift market expectations. National political developments, fundraising announcements, and polling releases often trigger repricing. Turnout models and demographic shifts in key counties may influence trader positioning. Scandals, gaffes, or major policy announcements can create sudden volatility. As election day approaches, early voting results and exit polling typically drive the most significant moves in market odds.
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