TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.8b
24H VOL:
$97,216,654
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,318,415,064
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,159,905,520
328,779
Markets across
32,454
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,007
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Democratic party
- Kalshi
Democratic party - Kalshi
60%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 15
Aug 16
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Vol.
$11k
·
Resolves Jan 14, 2027
Latest in Elections
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Georgia
$
Intro
This market tracks whether the Democratic Party will win the Georgia governorship in the 2026 election, as measured on Kalshi using official election results as the resolution source. The current probability of the Democratic Party winning stands at 61.0%, while the Republican Party’s chance is 40.0%. The outcome will be determined by the inauguration date, scheduled for 2027-01-14, following the 2026 election, so keep an eye on the official inauguration to see who takes the governorship.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on which party's representative is inaugurated as Georgia governor following the 2026 election. A Democratic party representative's inauguration resolves the market to Yes for that outcome, as does a Republican party representative's inauguration for their respective outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money incentives and aggregate trader expectations, often diverging from traditional polling. While polls capture voter sentiment at a single moment, prediction markets incorporate ongoing information, campaign developments, and trader conviction. The current market pricing suggests distinct probabilities for each outcome, whereas polls may show different lead margins or undecided voter distributions. Comparing the two reveals where informed traders see advantages or risks that surveys may not yet reflect.
On Kalshi, the Georgia Governor winner market is structured around binary outcomes for each candidate or party. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently shows a probability of 59.0%, meaning traders are pricing in that likelihood. Prices move continuously as new information emerges, campaign events unfold, and traders adjust positions. Volume of $604,493 reflects cumulative interest, while 24-hour volume of $882 indicates recent trading intensity and liquidity available for new positions.
The Georgia Governor winner market resolves on Jan 14, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official results of the 2027 Georgia gubernatorial election. The market will settle based on which candidate or party wins the governorship according to certified election outcomes. Traders should monitor official state election announcements and any potential recounts or legal proceedings that could affect the final determination.
Key catalysts include campaign announcements, debate performances, endorsements from major political figures, and economic developments affecting Georgia. Polling releases, voter registration trends, and turnout indicators will influence trader positioning. National political shifts, changes in party momentum, or scandals involving candidates could trigger sharp repricing. Primary election results, if applicable, and late-stage campaign spending patterns often drive final market moves. Real-time news and social media sentiment may also prompt rapid position adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.
