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CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win the CT-01 Democratic Primary election?

Volume:
$129,768

James Martin

 - Kalshi

James Martin - Kalshi

100%

+44%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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40%50%60%70%80%90%

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 24

Vol.

$25.6k

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 10:39 AM EST

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Description

This event group tracks the Democratic primary race for Connecticut's 1st congressional district (CT-01) in the 2026 midterm elections. The markets will resolve based on who wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the CT-01 seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same core criteria: the official Democratic Party nominee for CT-01 as of November 3, 2026, with a consistent fallback to 'Other' if no nominee is declared by that datePrimary resolution logic: Consensus of official Democrat sources, including democrats.org

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to Yes for the candidate who wins the Democratic Party nomination for CT-01
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to 'Other'
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Nominee Replacement: If the nominated candidate is replaced before election day, the market still resolves based on the original nominee
  • No Nominee By Deadline: If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, but no later than November 3, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Bernard Taylor or James Martin successfully obtains the Democratic Party nomination to compete for the U.S. House seat representing Florida's 21st congressional district in the 2026 election. The determination is based exclusively on official party conventions, primaries, or other recognized nominating procedures concluded by the relevant election authority. No other candidates qualifying for or winning the nomination will trigger a Yes outcome, and the market remains No if neither candidate achieves the party's endorsement through valid processes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the CT-01 Democratic primary race aggregates data across multiple platforms, showing real-time odds and volume for this market. It highlights consensus views and cross-platform trends, allowing users to see how Polymarket and Kalshi price the contest. With a total volume of $129,768 and 24-hour volume of $11,739, it offers a snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity around the race.