TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Continent to Win the Men's World Cup
Total volume:
$12,702
Volume 24h:
$405
40%
Liquidity:
$357
68%
Open interest:
$8,967
5%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group predicts which continent will win the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup. Markets across platforms ask whether the champion country belongs to Europe, Africa, South America, Asia, North America, or Oceania, with resolution tied to the official tournament winner and continent classification.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms (Kalshi, Limitless, Predict) use identical resolution logic: determine the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion country, classify it to a continent using World Population Review, and resolve to that continent or 'Other' if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA announcement (fifa.com) combined with World Population Review continent classification (worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent)Core resolution logic:
- Identify the official 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion as announced by FIFA
- Classify the champion country to its continent using World Population Review as the definitive source
- Resolve the market to that continent (Europe, Africa, South America, Asia, North America, or Oceania)
- If the tournament is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or no winner is declared by that date, resolve to 'Other'
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tournament Cancellation or Postponement: If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or postponed beyond December 31, 2026, all markets resolve to 'Other'
- Continent Classification Ambiguity: World Population Review is the definitive source for continent assignment; if a country's continental classification is disputed, World Population Review's listing controls
- No Winner Declared: If no champion is officially declared by FIFA within the tournament window (June 11 - July 19, 2026) or by December 31, 2026, resolution is 'Other'
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official FIFA announcement of the 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, expected between June 11 and July 19, 2026, with final resolution deadline of December 31, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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