TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$105,438,864

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,170,041,743

338,680

Markets across

33,274

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,215

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 20

Intro

This market tracks whether the total combined runs scored by the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees in their upcoming game will be over or under 5.5 runs. The current aggregated consensus probability for the "Over 5.5 runs" outcome stands at 84.0%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics from MLB.com or consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the game on June 6 at 7:35 PM ET, as this will be the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic: official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours, with postponed games remaining open and cancellations/ties resolving 50-50.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com or consensus of credible reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • Game winner resolves to the team with the higher final score after all innings
  • Over/Under thresholds resolve by comparing the sum of both teams' runs to the specified line
  • Point spreads resolve based on the margin of victory meeting or exceeding the specified threshold
  • First-inning run markets resolve based on whether at least one run is scored in the first inning
  • Postponed games remain open until played; canceled games or ties resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the makeup game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tie after regulation: If the game ends in a tie (including after extra innings), the winner market resolves 50-50 and all spread markets resolve against the favorite (Boston Red Sox for -lines, New York Yankees for +lines).
  • Delayed reporting: If MLB does not publish final statistics within 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., ESPN, CBS Sports, Associated Press) will be used.
Timing: Resolution occurs when official MLB statistics are published or within 24 hours of the game's scheduled start time if official data is unavailableOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 6 at 7:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 6 at 7:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-24 22:40 UTC: If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price this market across venues. It displays total volume of $4,028,623 and 24-hour volume of $2,603,975, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view captures consensus and divergence, so you can gauge market sentiment as it evolves toward Sep 5, 2026.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and lower liquidity constraints. While sportsbooks may post a fixed spread of 32.0, traders on Polymarket and Predict adjust probabilities based on evolving team news, player injuries, and recent performance. This can create sharper or more volatile odds, especially when major catalysts approach.

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can diverge because each venue has its own user base, liquidity pool, and fee structure influencing how traders hedge and place bets. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, Polymarket currently favors Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 at 80.0%, while Predict leans toward Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees at 48.0%. Differences in recent trading volume or regional interest can also amplify these gaps.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game record, closing the market based on the final score or play that settles all contracts.

In the run-up to Sep 5, 2026, anything affecting either team’s performance or odds can shift this market. Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, injury updates, weather forecasts for the game venue, and recent head-to-head performance trends. Sudden changes in betting volume on Polymarket or Predict also signal shifting sentiment, while any last-minute roster moves could reshape expectations for the outcome.