TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.3b

24H VOL:

$229,738,843

24H TRANSACTIONS:

950,106,883

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,105,337,230

828,141

Markets across

14,990

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

943

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

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55%

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Sports
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees? Odds & Prediction Markets

Total volume:
$4,009,146
Volume 24h:
$321
43%
Liquidity:
$34,207
5%
Open interest:
$1,916,268
0%
PredictionHero
O/U 5.5 83%
polymarket
O/U 6.5 74%
polymarket
Spread -1.5 63%
polymarket
Jun 5Jun 6Jun 8Jun 10Jun 12Jun 14Jun 16Jun 18Jun 20Jun 23Jun 26Jun 29Jul 1Jul 3Jul 5Jul 7Jul 9Jul 11Jul 13Jul 15Jul 16406080100

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5

83%chance
Amount

$

$20

$50

$100

$500

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 83¢ buys you 120 shares | Odds: 83% Total Payout: $120 | Net Profit: $20 Multiplier: 1.20x | ROI: 20% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks the total runs scored in the Boston Red Sox versus New York Yankees matchup, with an 83.0% consensus probability that the game goes over 5.5 runs combined. The aggregated forecast draws data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, with resolution determined by official MLB final statistics. Watch for the game scheduled June 6, 2026 at 7:35 PM ET, as first-inning scoring patterns and bullpen availability leading into that date will be key indicators of total run expectations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Both possible game outcomes (Boston win or New York win) map to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving no valid path to a No resolution under normal play.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market until the resolution logic is corrected. The market as stated will always resolve Yes for any decisive outcome, eliminating genuine price discovery. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether No resolution is intended only for cancellation/postponement scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to "Boston Red Sox" if Boston wins; "New York Yankees" if New York wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Logically broken resolution. States: "If Boston wins... resolves to Yes. If New York Y wins... resolves to Yes." Both outcomes map to Yes, making No resolution impossible under normal game conditions. No fallback logic for cancellation or tie is provided.
  • Predict: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to "Boston Red Sox" if Boston wins; "New York Yankees" if New York wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 6 at 7:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 6 at 7:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time prediction market data for the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays live odds, consensus probabilities, and trading volume to show how the crowd is pricing each outcome. You can monitor shifts in market sentiment, compare implied win probabilities between platforms, and track total liquidity across venues. The multi-platform view reveals whether one side is commanding stronger conviction or if divergence exists between communities, helping you spot opportunities and understand broader market consensus on this matchup.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs in real time. For the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different liquidity levels, trading hours, and market efficiency. Comparing both sources can reveal value opportunities and highlight where informed traders are positioning relative to Vegas consensus.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi stem from distinct user bases, fee structures, and market depth. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or have higher liquidity in certain outcomes, pushing prices apart. Timing lags, platform-specific news interpretation, and varying levels of market participation can cause temporary arbitrage windows. Additionally, each platform's order book depth and slippage tolerance influence how quickly prices converge. Monitoring both venues for the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees helps traders identify mispricings and execute cross-platform strategies.

Key catalysts for the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees market include injury announcements to star players, lineup changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day, bullpen availability, and momentum shifts in either team's season can shift trader sentiment significantly. Breaking news about roster moves, managerial decisions, or off-field developments may trigger sharp repricing. Monitor sports news feeds and team social media closely, as even minor updates can move prediction market odds as traders rapidly reassess win probabilities and adjust positions accordingly.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.19.2PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.