TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.2b

24H VOL:

$195,930,743

24H TRANSACTIONS:

950,106,883

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,066,493,046

825,151

Markets across

14,840

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

886

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Bitcoin all time high by ___? Odds & Prediction Markets

Total volume:
$9,256,537
Volume 24h:
$5,726
53%
Liquidity:
$178,162
2%
Open interest:
$907,170N/A
PredictionHero
December 31, 2026 5%
limitless
December 31, 2026 5%
polymarket
September 30, 2026 2%
polymarket
Feb 2026Feb 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026May 2026May 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jun 2026Jul 20260102030
Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
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Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) on the Binance BTC/USDT spot market by various dates in 2026. Resolution requires a 1-minute candle 'High' price exceeding all prior historical highs, measured from December 16, 2025 10:30 AM ET onward on the specified settlement date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Limitless share identical resolution criteria, source (Binance BTC/USDT 1m candles), observation window (16 Dec 2025 10:30 AM ET to 11:59 PM ET on settlement date), and YES/NO logic (new ATH vs. no new ATH).Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle 'High' prices accessible at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with '1m' and 'Candles' selected.

Core resolution logic:

  • YES: Any 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date (from 10:30 AM ET onward through 11:59 PM ET) exceeds the maximum 'High' price of all prior 1-minute candles in Binance BTC/USDT history.
  • NO: No 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date exceeds the historical maximum 'High' price.
  • Resolution applies only to Binance BTC/USDT spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are excluded.
  • Observation window begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET; all prior candles (before this timestamp) establish the baseline for ATH comparison.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle 'High' equals but does not exceed the prior ATH, resolution is NO. The criterion requires a strictly higher price.
  • Multiple new ATHs on settlement date: If multiple candles on the settlement date exceed the prior ATH, the market still resolves YES (only one new ATH is required).
  • Data unavailability or exchange outage: Not explicitly addressed in either platform's description. If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted on the settlement date, resolution methodology is undefined; escalation to platform dispute resolution may be required.
  • Timezone edge case: All times are specified in ET (Eastern Time). Traders must ensure correct timezone conversion; Binance timestamps are in UTC and must be converted to ET for accurate window identification.
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each settlement date (March 31, 2026; June 30, 2026; September 30, 2026; December 31, 2026). Observation window for each market begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET and extends through 11:59 PM ET on the specified settlement date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin all time high by ___? dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for when Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high price. The dashboard displays current market probability, historical odds movements, and $9,256,537 in total group volume across all outcome dates. You can monitor 24-hour trading patterns and see which resolution dates attract the most trader interest. This single-venue view helps you understand how the prediction market is pricing the timing of Bitcoin's next record price level.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on when Bitcoin will break its previous all-time high, which differs from spot price forecasts. While spot price analysts focus on near-term technical levels and momentum, prediction markets embed longer-term conviction about regulatory, macroeconomic, and adoption catalysts. Market odds aggregate distributed bets across multiple resolution dates, revealing whether traders expect a new high within months or years. This probabilistic view complements traditional price targets by quantifying confidence in specific timeframes rather than point estimates.

Bitcoin all time high by ___ is priced on Polymarket as a set of binary outcomes tied to specific resolution dates. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each date outcome trades independently, with the market price reflecting the probability traders assign to Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high by that deadline. Prices range from near-zero to near-100 cents per share. Liquidity and trading volume vary by outcome date, influencing bid-ask spreads and execution costs. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

The Bitcoin all time high by ___ market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution depends on whether Bitcoin's price has reached a new all-time high on or before each specific outcome date. Traders should review the market's official resolution criteria to understand how the all-time high is measured and which price feeds or data sources determine the final outcome. Each date-based outcome resolves independently, so markets expiring earlier settle before the final Jan 1, 2027 deadline.

Bitcoin all time high odds could shift based on macroeconomic policy, central bank rate decisions, institutional adoption announcements, and regulatory developments. Major spot price rallies or crashes directly influence trader conviction about near-term all-time high probabilities. Bitcoin ETF inflows, corporate treasury purchases, and geopolitical safe-haven demand can accelerate price momentum. Conversely, regulatory crackdowns or recession fears may push expectations further into the future. Technical breakouts above key resistance levels and changes in on-chain metrics also signal shifting market sentiment about timing.

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