TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.2b
24H VOL:
$195,930,743
24H TRANSACTIONS:
950,106,883
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,066,493,046
825,151
Markets across
14,840
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
886
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
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Trade on Limitless
At 5.6¢ buys you 1,786 shares | Odds: 5% Total Payout: $1,786 | Net Profit: $1,686 Multiplier: 17.86x | ROI: 1,686% APY not meaningful 169 days to resolutionTrade on Polymarket
At 5¢ buys you 2,000 shares | Odds: 5% Total Payout: $2,000 | Net Profit: $1,900 Multiplier: 20.00x | ROI: 1,900% APY not meaningful 169 days to resolutionThis event group tracks whether Bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) on the Binance BTC/USDT spot market by various dates in 2026. Resolution requires a 1-minute candle 'High' price exceeding all prior historical highs, measured from December 16, 2025 10:30 AM ET onward on the specified settlement date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on when Bitcoin will break its previous all-time high, which differs from spot price forecasts. While spot price analysts focus on near-term technical levels and momentum, prediction markets embed longer-term conviction about regulatory, macroeconomic, and adoption catalysts. Market odds aggregate distributed bets across multiple resolution dates, revealing whether traders expect a new high within months or years. This probabilistic view complements traditional price targets by quantifying confidence in specific timeframes rather than point estimates.
Bitcoin all time high by ___ is priced on Polymarket as a set of binary outcomes tied to specific resolution dates. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each date outcome trades independently, with the market price reflecting the probability traders assign to Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high by that deadline. Prices range from near-zero to near-100 cents per share. Liquidity and trading volume vary by outcome date, influencing bid-ask spreads and execution costs. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market resolves on Jan 1, 2027.
The Bitcoin all time high by ___ market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution depends on whether Bitcoin's price has reached a new all-time high on or before each specific outcome date. Traders should review the market's official resolution criteria to understand how the all-time high is measured and which price feeds or data sources determine the final outcome. Each date-based outcome resolves independently, so markets expiring earlier settle before the final Jan 1, 2027 deadline.
Bitcoin all time high odds could shift based on macroeconomic policy, central bank rate decisions, institutional adoption announcements, and regulatory developments. Major spot price rallies or crashes directly influence trader conviction about near-term all-time high probabilities. Bitcoin ETF inflows, corporate treasury purchases, and geopolitical safe-haven demand can accelerate price momentum. Conversely, regulatory crackdowns or recession fears may push expectations further into the future. Technical breakouts above key resistance levels and changes in on-chain metrics also signal shifting market sentiment about timing.
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