TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.9b

24H VOL:

$84,685,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,100,123

337,636

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,273

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

America's Got Talent Season 21: Winner

America's Got Talent Season 21: Winner

Aug 18, 2026, 10:30 AM EST - Sep 24, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$164,380
Volume 24h:
$57,966
7%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$127,609
51%

Nene Royal

 - Kalshi

Nene Royal - Kalshi

62%

+49.5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$31.4k

·

Resolves Sep 24, 2026

Time left: 27d:23h:30m

Will Nene Royal win America's Got Talent Season 21?

63%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This market tracks the outcome of America's Got Talent Season 21, focusing on which act is officially declared the winner during the finale or through immediate official channels afterward. The resolution hinges on the announced results, with specific conditions governing disqualifications, withdrawals, and joint victories.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific contestant or group, resolving to 'Yes' only if that entity is officially declared the winner of America's Got Talent Season 21. The winner must be announced during the finale broadcast or via immediate official channels following the finale. If multiple joint winners are declared, each relevant market resolves to 'Yes' with payouts split equally. Should no winner be declared, all markets resolve to 'No'. Winners who decline the award still count toward resolution unless explicit acceptance is required for victory. Any disqualifications or withdrawals occurring before the finale result in a 'No' resolution for all markets, and subsequent title stripping after the announcement does not alter the outcome. Fan favorite awards or similar secondary recognitions do not qualify as winning outcomes. For acts competing as couples or teams, inclusion within the winning unit satisfies the resolution criteria. All markets are explicitly unaffiliated with America's Got Talent or NBC, using their names and logos purely for descriptive purposes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the AGT Season 21 winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $55,938. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the likelihood of different contestants taking the crown in this season. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, giving users insight into where the money is flowing for the AGT Season 21 winner market.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible winner. The platform calculates these prices based on order book depth and recent trading volume, allowing participants to buy or sell contracts at market-driven rates. This mechanism captures collective wisdom and can quickly adjust to new performance highlights or elimination news.

This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by audience votes and judges' scores during the final live broadcast, and the result will be reported across major news outlets and the show's official channels. Once confirmed, all contracts will settle according to the verified winner.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major performance nights, unexpected eliminations, contestant injuries or controversies, and audience voting trends revealed in real time. Media coverage highlighting particular acts, social media buzz, and momentum-building moments during live shows often drive rapid changes in trader sentiment. Any development that alters perceptions of who might win is likely to impact pricing before the final resolution.