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307,732
Markets across
29,900
events
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Kalshi:
58%
What will Urban Outfitters say during their next earnings call?
Tariff
- Kalshi
Tariff - Kalshi
97%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 24
Vol.
$316.9
·
Resolves Jan 31, 2027
What will Urban Outfitters, Inc. say during their next earnings call?
$
Description
This event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during Urban Outfitters' upcoming earnings call. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of certain topics, brands, or phrases being discussed, reflecting potential strategic focuses or challenges the company might address.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether any of several specified terms or phrases are uttered by any Urban Outfitters, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next earnings call scheduled for August 26, 2026, encompassing both the main presentation and the Q+A session. Resolution relies primarily on video recordings of the call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted. The exact phrase, or its plural or possessive form, must appear for the market to resolve to Yes. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact required form. Each market corresponds to a different potential topic, allowing participants to bet on the inclusion of specific subjects in the discussion.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of market expectations. While analysts may provide detailed guidance based on financial models, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to news, sentiment, and macro factors. This can lead to notable differences — for example, 95.0% chance allocated to a specific outcome may diverge from the average analyst projection, highlighting where bettors see higher or lower probability than consensus estimates.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate wisdom of participants. The implied probability of 95.0% shows what the market thinks is most likely, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume of $25,157. Prices shift rapidly in response to earnings previews, guidance changes, or broader retail sector news that could affect expectations for the call.
This market resolves around Jan 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, transcripts, recorded audio, or officially released video from Urban Outfitters’ earnings call will be examined to determine which market outcome matches the spoken words. The process relies on clear, public documentation — no subjective interpretation — to finalize the result.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include pre-earnings analyst days, management comments in interviews, surprise revenue leaks, or sector-wide news that changes investor sentiment about retail performance. Any indication — even indirect — about guidance, margin targets, or strategic shifts from Urban Outfitters may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch inventory levels and same-store sales reports as leading indicators that shape expectations for the call.