TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.8b
24H VOL:
$58,910,711
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,340,574,887
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,102,578,508
307,732
Markets across
29,900
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,250
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Hyperscaler
- Kalshi
Hyperscaler - Kalshi
99%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 24
Vol.
$1.5k
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
$
During its upcoming earnings call, Nvidia will address various strategic topics and operational updates that reflect its position in the technology sector. Investors and analysts will be particularly interested in any mentions of key technologies, partnerships, or market conditions that could influence the company's future direction and performance.
The event centers on whether specific predefined terms are mentioned by any Nvidia Corporation representative during the next earnings call scheduled for August 26, 2026, including the Q+A session. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase. The outcome for each market is determined by verifying if the exact term—or its plural or possessive form—is uttered during the call. Video recordings of the call serve as the primary evidence; if consensus cannot be reached from the video, official transcripts from designated news publications will be consulted. Grammatical or tense variations do not count unless they match the exact specified form. All markets share these uniform resolution criteria, ensuring consistency across each term's evaluation.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects a crowdsourced probability that can diverge noticeably. Analysts often provide binary or target-driven outlooks, while traders continuously adjust their bets based on new information, rumors, and sentiment. This can lead to sharper or more nuanced expectations than typical polling or consensus estimates.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects collective expectations about what Nvidia will communicate during their upcoming earnings call. Volume of $55,756 shows trader interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $8,934 indicates how actively participants are engaging with the market right now.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it will be settled based on Nvidia’s official earnings call transcript and related press releases, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Dec 31, 2026. Major tech analyst reports about Nvidia, broader market trends affecting semiconductor stocks, and any pre-call leaks or rumors may all influence expectations. Additionally, macroeconomic data impacting tech spending could change perceptions of what Nvidia might emphasize on the call.