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308,314
Markets across
30,092
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,112
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
58%
What will Karoline Leavitt say in the next press briefing?
ICE
- Kalshi
ICE - Kalshi
72%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Aug 16
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Vol.
$866.2
·
Resolves Sep 15, 2026
Time left: 22d:18h:33m
Will the White House Press Secretary say ICE at her next press briefing?
$
Description
This event tracks whether specific phrases will be uttered by the White House Press Secretary during their next official press briefing. The resolution depends on the exact wording used during a live, televised session, with video and official transcripts serving as the primary evidence.
Kalshi
The event consists of multiple individual markets, each focused on a specific phrase or term. For each market, if the White House Press Secretary utters the exact phrase—or its plural/possessive form—during the next official press briefing (excluding informal gatherings known as gaggles), the market resolves positively. Resolution relies primarily on live video broadcasts of the briefing; if video review proves inconclusive, official internal and external transcripts are used. The briefing must be a press-accessible, televised or streamed event, with the Press Secretary speaking in an official capacity for the market to qualify. Private or off-the-record remarks, archived footage, or content from unrelated events do not count. Each market operates independently, with its own specific payout criteria based solely on the presence of its designated phrase.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect a collective trader view that can diverge significantly from traditional polling or expert predictions. While analysts may offer detailed textual assessments, the market price captures a quantifiable, continuously updated probability based on trader sentiment and recent events. These differences can highlight emerging trends or skepticism not yet reflected in conventional forecasts, providing a complementary perspective on expected statement content.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine this market’s price through active buying and selling of contracts representing possible statement outcomes. The current odds displayed — approximately 69.0% for the leading option — arise from supply and demand dynamics among participants. As new information emerges, these odds shift rapidly, reflecting the real-time consensus of market participants on the likelihood of each potential statement.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official press briefings, verified transcripts, and reputable news coverage to determine which statement matches the market’s defined outcomes. The resolution occurs when the event is publicly confirmed and can no longer be contested, closing all positions accordingly.
Media coverage, political commentary, and early leaks preceding the briefing could shift this market significantly. Any public indication — even indirect — of Karoline Leavitt’s likely emphasis or tone may cause rapid odds adjustments. Additionally, broader political developments, opponent reactions, and emerging controversies surrounding the statement topic can all influence trader sentiment and move the market in the days leading up to Sep 15, 2026.