TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.8b
24H VOL:
$58,910,711
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,340,574,887
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,102,578,508
307,732
Markets across
29,900
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,250
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Holland America
- Kalshi
Holland America - Kalshi
90%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 17
Aug 18
Aug 19
Aug 20
Aug 21
Aug 22
Aug 24
Vol.
$721.9
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
$
During its upcoming earnings call, Carnival Cruise will discuss various operational and financial topics relevant to its business performance. Investors and analysts will listen closely to gauge the company's outlook and strategic priorities.
The market resolves based on whether specific predefined terms are uttered by any Carnival Corporation representative during the earnings call, including the operator or Q+A session. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the call; if consensus cannot be reached, transcripts from specified news publications will be referenced. The exact term, or its plural/possessive form, must be used—grammatical or tense variations do not count. All markets share these uniform verification procedures.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may provide detailed guidance based on models, traders adjust prices based on recent news, sentiment, and betting patterns. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially if new information emerges before the earnings call.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks. The current top outcome has a chance of 90.0%, determined by the balance of buy and sell orders. Volume of $609 in the last 24 hours reflects market activity, and price movements react to new information affecting trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Carnival Cruise's next earnings call has concluded and the official transcript or recording is publicly available. The statement made during that call will be verified against credible public sources to determine the market's final result.