What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
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$178,067
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24h
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Description
This event group determines which show will rank #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list as published on February 17, 2026. Both platforms resolve based on the same official Netflix data source and timing, with Kalshi offering 13 specific show outcomes and Polymarket offering a broader set of named and placeholder outcomes plus an 'Other' catch-all.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the identical resolution trigger: Netflix's official #1 ranking on the global Top 10 TV shows list as of February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, based on total global views for English-language shows.
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix official Top 10 global TV shows list (top10.netflix.com), published February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Core resolution logic:
Resolution occurs on February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its weekly Top 10 global TV shows update
The #1-ranked show on that list determines the winner across all markets on both platforms
Ranking is based on total global views for English-language TV shows only, as reported by Netflix
Kalshi offers 13 specific named shows; any show matching one of these names resolves that market to Yes
Polymarket offers named shows (Is It Cake? Valentines, Bridgerton: Season 4, How to Get to Heaven from Belfast, The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4, Love is Blind: Season 10) plus placeholder outcomes (Show A through Show K) and an 'Other' catch-all
If Netflix's #1 show is not explicitly named on either platform, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and Kalshi resolves all named markets to No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Netflix update delay or failure: If top10.netflix.com does not publish an update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi has no explicit fallback rule and would resolve all named markets to No by default.
Placeholder show ambiguity (Polymarket): Polymarket uses placeholder names (Show A through Show K) without defining which real shows they represent. Resolution depends on Netflix's actual #1 ranking; if the #1 show is not one of the explicitly named options, it falls to 'Other'.
Show title variations or rebranding: Resolution requires exact match to show titles as they appear on Netflix's official Top 10 list. Minor variations (e.g., punctuation, capitalization, season numbering format) could create ambiguity; Netflix's official list is the authoritative source.
Tie or co-ranking: Netflix's Top 10 list ranks shows in ordinal position; if Netflix reports a tie for #1, the show listed first on the official page is the winner.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its weekly Top 10 global TV shows update. If the update does not occur by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi implicitly resolves all named markets to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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