TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.4b
24H VOL:
$268,259,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,159,026,548
830,716
Markets across
15,101
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
967
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
"The Drama" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Closed: Apr 5, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for The Drama (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket uses 'at least' (inclusive) thresholds while Kalshi uses 'above' (exclusive) thresholds. For example, Polymarket resolves YES if the score is >= 77, but Kalshi's equivalent market resolves YES only if the score is > 77. This creates a one-point gap at each threshold boundary.Hero tip: If The Drama scores exactly at a threshold (e.g., 77, 72, 75, 80), Polymarket markets will resolve YES while Kalshi markets will resolve NO. Traders should account for this boundary condition when positioning across platforms—a score of exactly 77 means YES on Polymarket's 77+ market but NO on Kalshi's 77+ market.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses inclusive 'at least' thresholds (>=) across all four markets: 72, 75, 77, and 80. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on April 6, 2026, with a fallback data-availability window through April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes All Critics Tomatometer score for The Drama (2026) is at least equal to the specified number.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi uses exclusive 'above' thresholds (>) across all fourteen markets, covering a wider range of score breakpoints (45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 72, 75, 77, 80, 82, 85, 90, 95). Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on April 6, 2026. Key quote: 'If The Drama has a Tomatometer score of above [threshold] on Apr 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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