TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
"The Bride!" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Volume:
$449,770
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the critical reception of the film 'The Bride!' (2026) as measured by the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi have created binary contracts at various score thresholds (30, 40, 45, 50, 52, 55, 57, 60, 62, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90) to allow traders to bet on whether the film will achieve specific critical approval levels.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses inclusive threshold logic (>=) while Kalshi uses exclusive threshold logic (>). At exact threshold boundary values, the two platforms will produce opposite resolutions for nominally identical contracts.Hero Tip:
Exact-threshold scores create arbitrage risk. If The Bride! scores exactly 80, Polymarket's '80+' contract wins but Kalshi's '>80' contract loses. Cross-platform hedging at the same threshold is ineffective. Prioritize understanding Rotten Tomatoes' rounding methodology and whether the final published score will be an integer or decimal.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Uses >= (at least equal to) comparison. Resolves YES if final Tomatometer score is greater than or equal to the threshold. Example: 80+ threshold resolves YES if score is 80, 81, 82, etc. Fallback: resolves NO if no data by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Kalshi: Uses > (above) comparison. Resolves YES if final Tomatometer score is strictly greater than the threshold. Example: >80 threshold resolves YES only if score is 81, 82, etc.; score of exactly 80 resolves NO. No explicit fallback documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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