TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Philadelphia vs Detroit
kalshi
predict

Who will win Philadelphia vs Detroit?

Volume:
$4,521,956

Philadelphia

 - Kalshi

Philadelphia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 8:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,625,412
N/A
N/A
$1,705,004
Settled
Yes
predict

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$44,108
$633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,895,911
N/A
N/A
$1,171,611
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Detroit Tigers. Across Kalshi and Predict, the consensus probability for a Phillies victory stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used as a fallback if official results are not published within 24 hours of game conclusion. Watch for the scheduled game on July 12 at 1:40 PM ET, as platform timing discrepancies may affect settlement accuracy.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled date/time mismatch between platforms (July 12 vs July 11, 2026) combined with logically contradictory resolution logic on Kalshi (both outcomes resolve Yes). This creates ambiguity about which game is being referenced and makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Do not trade this group until the actual scheduled game date is confirmed with MLB and Kalshi's resolution logic is clarified. The Kalshi market as written cannot function: a binary sports outcome cannot have both teams resolving to Yes.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Game scheduled July 12, 1:40 PM ET. Clear binary logic: Phillies win resolves Phillies, Tigers win resolves Tigers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Resolution source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • kalshi: Game originally scheduled July 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT. Resolution logic states both Philadelphia winning AND Detroit winning resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a binary market. This creates an unresolvable contradiction.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the official result of the Philadelphia vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price determined in accordance with standard resolution procedures.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different mechanisms and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real money at stake. Prediction markets typically reflect longer-term, aggregate belief about outcomes, whereas sportsbooks may adjust rapidly for short-term liability. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are pricing in information that oddsmakers have not yet fully reflected, or vice versa.

Kalshi and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity, fee structures, and market-making activity. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances and information sets, and order-book depth can vary significantly between venues. Regulatory differences and settlement rule nuances may also influence how each platform's community values the outcome. Monitoring both prices helps you identify mispricings and understand which platform's traders are more confident in their view.

Key catalysts that could shift prices include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Media coverage and expert analysis leading up to the event often influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking news about player availability or team strategy can trigger sharp moves. Monitoring sports news outlets and social sentiment alongside this market's price action helps you anticipate momentum shifts before they fully materialize in the odds.