TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 7:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group aggregates prediction markets tracking the ODI cricket match between West Indies and New Zealand scheduled for July 2026. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability that the match will be completed stands at 98.0%, while the probability that a toss will occur is 97.0%, both resolved against ESPN Cricinfo. Watch for the match fixture on July 23, 2026, as the actual event window will determine settlement across all aggregated markets.
This market refers to the cricket match between West Indies and New Zealand scheduled for 2026-07-16 in ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand.
The match resolves based on the official winner declared by the governing body. If West Indies wins, the West Indies market resolves to Yes. If New Zealand wins, the New Zealand market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before the match begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, markets resolve based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and manage risk by adjusting lines to balance action; prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation and supply-and-demand dynamics. This market reflects what a distributed crowd of traders believes will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether public consensus leans bullish or bearish relative to conventional betting venues, though prediction market odds and sportsbook odds may diverge due to different participant bases and risk management strategies.
Key player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent team performance in warm-up matches can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions at the venue, pitch reports, and toss outcomes on match day often trigger sharp repricing. Momentum from early matches in the series will likely drive the biggest moves, as traders update their expectations based on how each team performs under pressure. International cricket form, head-to-head records, and any last-minute roster changes will also influence positioning. Monitor team social media, official cricket boards, and sports news for announcements that could reshape market consensus before resolution.