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406,019

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2,689

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5

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VS.

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Lamine Yamal: Total Goals
limitless
kalshi

Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Volume:
$183,742

2+ goals

 - Kalshi

2+ goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 6:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,805
N/A
N/A
$58,435
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,475
N/A
N/A
$53,124
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,997
N/A
N/A
$11,788
Settled
No
limitless

Yamal to score against Austria on July 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50
$6,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,720
N/A
N/A
$2,376
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,660
N/A
N/A
$1,438
Settled
No
kalshi

7+ goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
$193
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers Lamine Yamal's goal-scoring performance at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kalshi offers multiple tiered markets (2+, 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, 7+ goals across the entire tournament), while Limitless offers a single match-specific market (goals vs Austria on July 2, 2026, regular time only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope divergence: Kalshi covers entire tournament across all match periods; Limitless covers single match, regular time only. Time windows and goal-counting rules differ materially.Hero tip: Treat these as independent markets. Kalshi requires sustained tournament performance; Limitless requires one-match performance in a specific time window. Spain's group-stage draw and Yamal's injury risk are key factors for both, but tournament-wide consistency is only relevant to Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Six tiered markets measuring Lamine Yamal's total goals across the entire 2026 World Cup tournament. All match periods count: regulation, stoppage time, and extra time. Resolution: YES if Yamal reaches the specified threshold (2+, 3+, 4+, 5+, 6+, or 7+ goals). Key Quote: 'during the entire tournament (including regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)'
  • Limitless: Single match market: Yamal scores at least 1 goal vs Austria on July 2, 2026, during regular time only (90 minutes + stoppage time). Extra time and penalty shootout goals do not count. Resolution: YES if official FIFA.com match report confirms goal in regular time; NO if match not completed by September 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Key Quote: 'during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only)... Goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Goals are counted across all tournament play including regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time periods. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. Goals in the third-place match are included in the total. The tournament encompasses all matches from group stage through final, with separate markets tracking whether the player reaches 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, or 7 or more goals by tournament conclusion.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Lamine Yamal scores at least one goal during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 19:00 UTC, as recorded in the official FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. Own goals by Lamine Yamal do not count. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Frequently asked questions

The Lamine Yamal goal-scoring market dashboard aggregates prediction data across Kalshi and Limitless, tracking real-time consensus on his goal output during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kalshi focuses on cumulative tournament performance, while Limitless emphasizes match-specific outcomes. Together, these platforms show how traders are pricing his offensive contribution relative to tournament expectations. The combined volume of $183,742 reflects active interest in isolating his individual scoring impact across multiple contract types and timeframes.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on continuous order-book pricing, where traders themselves set odds by buying and selling shares—no fixed lines. This differs from traditional sportsbooks, which publish static odds and manage risk through margin. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, real-time consensus because traders have direct financial exposure and can adjust positions instantly. Sportsbooks, by contrast, balance liability and may lag behind breaking news. For player prop markets like this one, prediction platforms can offer tighter spreads and faster price discovery once significant new information emerges.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct contract rules, liquidity pools, and user bases. Kalshi may emphasize longer-term tournament accumulation, attracting traders focused on full-tournament performance, while Limitless can concentrate liquidity on single-match outcomes, drawing tactical bettors. Funding, promotional incentives, and fee structures also vary, shifting where traders choose to deploy capital. Additionally, one platform may see faster order flow during live events, creating temporary price leads. These structural differences mean identical underlying events can trade at different probabilities across venues, creating arbitrage opportunities for alert traders.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, recent form and injury updates, and head-to-head matchup draws that affect playing time and offensive opportunities. Early tournament performance—goals scored in group stages—will shift pricing sharply as traders update expectations for the remainder of the competition. Tactical changes, managerial decisions, and offensive role adjustments can also influence scoring probability. Media narratives around his development and tournament prominence may sway retail trader sentiment. Live match events, substitution patterns, and penalty-taking duties represent real-time signals that can trigger rapid repricing as the tournament unfolds.