TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.4b
24H VOL:
$253,188,585
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,753,729
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,134,396,915
829,496
Markets across
15,042
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
954
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Closed: Jul 31, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Christopher Nolan's film adaptation of The Odyssey will have a runtime of at least 140 minutes. On Kalshi, the probability that the film meets or exceeds this length threshold stands at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the official runtime listed upon the film's release, as determined by standard industry sources. Watch for the film's theatrical release and official runtime announcement, expected by July 31, 2026, which will settle this contract.
Kalshi
The Odyssey's runtime is determined by the theatrical release run time as measured in minutes. Each market resolves Yes if the film's runtime meets or exceeds the specified threshold. If The Odyssey directed by Christopher Nolan is not released before July 31, 2026, all markets resolve to No.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations about The Odyssey's final runtime. While film analysts and industry insiders may publish runtime estimates based on script length and Nolan's historical pacing, prediction markets incorporate real-time information and financial incentives. Traders betting on specific runtime ranges create a dynamic consensus that often diverges from static analyst predictions, especially as production timelines shift or Nolan makes public statements about the film's scope and editing.
On Kalshi, the How long will The Odyssey be market is priced as a binary or categorical outcome contract reflecting trader conviction about the film's runtime. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently trades at 99.0% probability, indicating strong market lean toward a particular runtime range. Pricing adjusts continuously as new information surfaces—such as premiere announcements, runtime leaks, or director interviews—allowing traders to enter or exit positions based on their own forecasts of how long the final cut will run.
The market resolves on Jul 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official runtime of The Odyssey as released or announced by the studio and Christopher Nolan. The specific runtime threshold or range that triggers each outcome will be defined by Kalshi's resolution criteria, which typically reference authoritative sources such as IMDb, official press releases, or theatrical distribution data. Traders should monitor official channels for any runtime announcements leading up to the resolution date.
Key catalysts include official runtime announcements from Warner Bros. or Christopher Nolan, premiere screenings that reveal the final cut length, and industry reporting on editing decisions. Director statements about the film's scope, any theatrical versus streaming runtime variations, and festival premiere details could all shift trader expectations. Production delays or accelerations may also influence market sentiment about whether Nolan will expand or trim the final edit. Social media leaks and early reviewer comments closer to release could trigger significant repricing.
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