TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET

Volume:
$34,143

XRP Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - March 6, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,161
N/A
N/A
$818
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.11991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,982
N/A
N/A
$1,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,841
N/A
N/A
$714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.23991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
$390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.13991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.95991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.19991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.17991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.15991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.21991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.09991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on March 6, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot data, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD Real-Time Index with multiple price thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible resolution mechanics and different data sources. Polymarket is a binary directional market (close >= open on Binance XRP/USDT), while Kalshi offers 50 separate threshold-based markets against the CF Benchmarks index. These cannot be reconciled into a single unified outcome.Hero tip: Treat these as two distinct market families. Polymarket traders are betting direction; Kalshi traders are betting specific price levels. Binance spot price and CF Benchmarks index may diverge. Confirm your data source preference before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on whether XRP/USDT close >= open for the 1-hour candle starting at 5 PM ET on March 6, 2026. Data source: Binance XRP/USDT spot pair. Single outcome: Up or Down.
  • Kalshi: 50 independent Yes/No markets, each resolving Yes if the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EST exceeds a specific threshold (0.8999 to 1.8799). No unified binary outcome; each threshold is a separate market with its own resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.