TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - March 23, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - March 23, 5PM ET

Volume:
$6,495

$1.37991 or above

 - Kalshi

$1.37991 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.37991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,254
N/A
N/A
$2,211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.39991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,435
N/A
N/A
$1,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
$369
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.41991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.89991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.91991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.93991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.97991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.21991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.43991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,169
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.45991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.49991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.47991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.51991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.65991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.67991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.63991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.53991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.57991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.55991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - March 23, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on March 23, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot price data, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with 28 distinct price thresholds, creating a fundamental mismatch in both data source and resolution methodology.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi resolve the same event window (March 23, 5 PM ET) using different data sources (Binance XRP/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI) and fundamentally different resolution architectures (binary directional vs. 28-tier price ladder). This creates potential for non-correlated outcomes.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with independent resolution paths. Polymarket outcome depends on intracandle open-close comparison; Kalshi outcomes depend on whether the RTI benchmark crosses 28 distinct thresholds. Price divergence between Binance spot and CF RTI is the primary risk vector. Monitor both data sources independently leading up to settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market: resolves UP if XRP/USDT 1H candle close >= open, DOWN otherwise. Uses Binance spot price data. Single outcome per event window.
  • Kalshi: 28 independent price-level markets. Each resolves YES if CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds a specific threshold (0.8999 to 1.6799). Multiple simultaneous outcomes possible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.